Just in case you're wondering why I'm so bullish on legacy memory...
Their hikes seem a lot extreme than $NBIS reported +17-21% GPU rentals today or Taiyo-Murata type MLCC hikes.
Price hikes projections expected for H2:
- SLC NAND: +120-170% in H2 vs H1
- High-capacity NOR: +90-110% in H2 vs H1
- ~DDR3/DDR4: +50% Q3
- DDR2: +35-40% in Q3
- LPDDR: +20% or more in Q3
- DDR1, older LPDDR and PSRAM: also rising
As a consolidated view...
Lot of these are stacked off existing hikes H1, (eg. 130-150% for H1 SLC NAND), so you get +406%-575% cumulative throughout 2026.
Which impacts blended net income overall more than upstream wafer COGS hikes (eg. +45% DRAM wafers from $PSMC)
So I'd expect Q3 earnings for a lot of the legacy memory fabless companies to cook