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Arthur MacWaters
@ArthurMacwaters
cofounder @legionhealth building abundant healthcare for all with AI hiring engineers | prev @princeton @mckinsey
859 Following    94.7K Followers
Incentives determine outcomes If you give an NGO a certain number of dollars per homeless person, they will never solve homelessness SF spends more than $1b/yr (up 5x) and the homeless population has only grown NGO fraud is so insane, man.
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in target in downtown SF imagine if we locked up criminals instead of laundry detergent
Mao killed so many people that it literally dipped the global life expectancy
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benchmarks are done. this is the new benchmark. didn’t hack a Fortune 500 company? not on the frontier.
Ayn Rand predicted this Bernie Sanders, Ro Khanna, and most of hollywood (each worth 10s to 100s of millions) will rabidly insist that Elon is evil simply because he is a billionaire Yet they are living in one of their 3-4 beautiful mansions and he is living in an airstream so he can work on building superintelligence and employing people
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I still think about this all the time
Starship being the only vehicle in the history of humanity that can take us to other planets does not get enough appreciation
Just to recap the last week - Dario agreed with a ngo-coded physiognomy “whistleblower” that AI has >10% chance of ending humans and we should pace - Sam and Elon agreed but kept accelerating - Trump posted the Trump-est post of all time and said nah bro we’re accelerating even harder now get back to work nerds - also Dario: AI might kill us but it’ll also will help you do lead scoring in Salesforce - Papa benioff framemogged everyone at Dreamforce who realized for the first time he’s 6’5 and built like a 1950s refrigerator - Trump called Jensen during All-In and reiterated that there’s a hoax against data centers and we’re going to beat China - Clavicular the streamer also went on All-In stage and rated chamath a 4/10 and then bragged about mogging the “VCcels” and getting the hottest girl at the after party What is even happening right now
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this is clavicular vs ASU frat leader for people who know what a transformer is
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p(abundance) over the past 200 yrs technology produces a LOT more good than bad
AI should make healthcare 10x-100x cheaper, fully personalized, and better than anything available today. The future is bright
Malicious researchers tried to use Claude to work on virus gain of function research Anthropic reported the institution to the authorities, exfiltrated the plans as evidence, and blocked all associated users Ask yourself what happens if China wins the AI race
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“people wouldn’t commit crimes if they could just afford food” they would, actually. Finland studied this by giving people UBI, and it had precisely zero impact on crime
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Housing is upstream of every social issue in the US We cannot defeat the formation of socialist sentiment in the US without making it easy for 24 year olds to buy houses and start families We will either go extinct or become a 3rd world dictatorship unless we fix this This is the linchpin. Build 10m more houses!
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I think about this often
@PeterDiamandis If the 4th launch had failed, SpaceX would not exist
people forget that VC is relatively tiny financial segment (~$1T aum) blackrock alone has $15T aum
15 largest VC firms in the Bay Area: 1. Andreessen Horowitz (@a16z) - ~$90B 2. Sequoia Capital (@sequoia) - ~$56B 3. Lightspeed (@lightspeedvp) - ~$40B 4. Accel (@Accel) - ~$20-26B 5. Bessemer Venture Partners (@BessemerVP) - ~$20B 6. Khosla Ventures (@khoslaventures) - ~$17B 7. Greenoaks Capital - ~$15-18B 8. Greylock (@GreylockVC) - ~$16B 9. Founders Fund (@foundersfund) - ~$12-17B 10. Ribbit Capital (@RibbitCapital) - ~$10B 11. IVP (@IVP) - ~$8-10B 12. Kleiner Perkins (@kleinerperkins) - ~$7-9B 13. Benchmark (@benchmark) - ~$3-4B 14. First Round Capital (@firstround) - ~$3-4B 15. Craft Ventures (@craft_ventures) - ~$3B
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The future is that most of the medical thinking will be done by AI, and this will lead to abundant and better care for all
An infant at Stanford's children's hospital was deteriorating despite multiple open-heart surgeries. His heart was failing — and no scan could explain why. An AI-powered MRI found what no other imaging could see. Surgeons fixed it. The child recovered. His surgeon: the diagnosis "would have been nearly impossible" without it. The same AI has cut kids' MRI exams from an HOUR to 10 minutes — many children now skip anesthesia entirely. This is what's at stake in the AI debate.
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Let me get this straight > the state of CA has incinerated 126B of taxpayer money to **not build** 1 mile of rail > Elon is privately funding the single biggest infrastructure play in Louisiana history (tens of thousands of jobs) and opening a literal spaceport > the media is attacking Elon and not the bureaucrats Ayn Rand warned us about this
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I wonder which one will get built first? 🤨
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Obviously will still be tightly tied to human desires/priorities