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Athu
@athuinvests
Thematic Investment Research on the AI Buildout
356 Following    14.5K Followers
When everyone is looking at the same thing and rooting for that to go up, the market will cause major drawdowns to make it seem less obvious or that the trade is over. The noise could even make some question the original thesis and ask themselves if they still have the same conviction as they did before. Those who pass the test will be rewarded simply by showing character and not falling into the trap. Think of it like waves that go up and down. Sometimes really big ones do come your way. But ultimately things settle down and flow in the natural direction of things. Fundamentals take over. $NBIS $MU $INTC $BE $MRVL
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If U.S. starts putting tariffs on Korean semiconductors, that means the value of domestic manufacturers keeps increasing and their ASPs rise significantly. A few winners that I see: 1. $MU (memory) 2. $AAOI (photonics) 3. $INTC (foundry) 4. $AMKR (packaging)
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The current sell-off in Korean memory stocks is being driven by a rumor that the U.S. is preparing tariffs targeting Korean semiconductors.
The world will need insane amounts of compute, memory, power and networking infrastructure until 2030. It has been less than two months since the drawdown in AI stocks happened and many are already questioning and panicking, asking themselves whether the trade is still alive. The answer is: YES! It is. - Capex won’t stop which means more demand for infrastructure and energy. - ROI is showing up for Hyperscalers and AI labs. - Businesses are becoming increasingly efficient and dependent on AI now. Think ahead. Bigger than all the daily headlines that can slowly crowd your mind with too much information and make you confused on something that is so obvious. Here are FIVE names that are incredibly important going ahead for the buildout: 1. $NBIS - #1# AI cloud & hyperscaler with a strong software ecosystem 2. $MU - US-based memory giant across the stack 3. $MRVL - The next Broadcom in ASICs, memory & photonics 4. $BE - BTM solution for all Hyperscalers 5. $INTC - The TSMC solution for the US
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Difference between investing in $SIVE and $NOK in one picture
you can't afford to not understand this
This is insane! $AVGO is targeting $30+ EPS in FY2028 Current price: ~$350 Stock can easily triple from here in two years
They called $FCEL the next $BE 😂 Send me the $100 Substack articles please! Don't say you weren't warned
$FCEL - dilute now, dream later 'we beat guidance' and 'we're diluting you again'
Just a TL;DR on why $SIVE is doing the right things: > US listing in 2027. 99% confirmed, they just can't say it yet for legal reasons. > 7 pluggables customers, with $JBL ramps coming soon. > New SAM opening up for their SOAs in optical circuit switches. > Opportunity pipeline sitting at $1.2B, and it keeps growing, tied to every new PO they sign. > $GFS, Ayar, and $POET are also giving them CPO exposure into the two supply chains that matter most, NVIDIA and AMD. > Capacity is increasing, so once InP laser qualification finishes and ramps start, they're set up to actually execute. > LiDAR customer ramp by end of this year, that's $AEVA, who's now looking into photonics too. > $NOK, Celestial, Lightmatter, and Lightelligence are potential customers, not confirmed yet. > Partnerships with SemiNex and O-Net to develop different photonics modules.
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I’ve received a fair amount of criticism over the last few days. I want to address it directly and honestly. First, the research on the AI buildout will always remain free. Earnings coverage, supply chain work on names like $SIVE, and the broader technological analysis will continue to stay open. That does not change. The subscription is simply a way to give early access to a smaller set of ideas, trades, and direct conversations to the people who choose to support the work. It is not a paywall on the core research. It is an edge for those who want it. Most of the alpha has been free, and most of it will continue to be free. The subscription (and the Substack I plan to launch) is what allows me to do this every single day. I already have a job and earn well. This is not about needing the money. It is about turning something I care deeply about from a side project into something I can fully commit to. A lot of people charge thousands for thin research with little real context. That is not what we do here. I will always share the ideas and trades publicly, just with a delay. I will never use anyone as exit liquidity. That is a hard line. If a stock is overpriced or the company is weak, I will not recommend it. I focus on businesses I believe can win over the long term. Giving subscribers earlier access, especially from a trading angle, feels fair to me. Everyone is entitled to their own view on this. My goal is to keep this space honest, open, and respectful. I do not want it to become a place where people feel things are being hidden or manipulated. I’m writing this simply to be transparent about where I stand. One last note from the bottom of my heart: I would never recommend something I wouldn’t be comfortable recommending to my own family. I think about staying true to my values every single day, and I always will. I’m also human and far from perfect. If you ever feel I’m not balancing this the right way, I’m open to hearing it. I genuinely want to listen to your perspectives. Because that is what actually matters. Much love 🩷 - Athu
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$FCEL - dilute now, dream later 'we beat guidance' and 'we're diluting you again'
JPMorgan: We estimate that leveraged ETF unwinding is about 75% complete and equity hedge fund deleveraging is more than 50% done. KOSPI $SKHY
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