Caleb Watney
@calebwatney
head of public policy @coeff_giving, previously co-founded @IFP // the US is the R&D lab for the world and we should act like it
1.1K Following 23.6K Followers
An interesting argument in the "AI as normal technology" view is that many important skills may plateau near top-human level because the world contains irreducible uncertainty. Maybe you can't be 100x better than Nate Silver at election modeling.
We should get a good test of this hypothesis in the next year or two as AI forecasting efforts scale.
Show more
