Caleb Watney
@calebwatney
head of public policy @coeff_giving, previously co-founded @IFP // the US is the R&D lab for the world and we should act like it
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Extremely funny to me that the anti-AI safety take has now shifted to "We shouldn't worry about these crazy sci-fi risks... We should only care about near-term issues like AI-enabled bioterrorism and cyber hacking 😤"
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finally got my hands on a copy
An interesting argument in the "AI as normal technology" view is that many important skills may plateau near top-human level because the world contains irreducible uncertainty. Maybe you can't be 100x better than Nate Silver at election modeling.
We should get a good test of this hypothesis in the next year or two as AI forecasting efforts scale.
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