Yudkowskyanism is clearly bullshit and based on black-and-white binary thinking: AI is like god, goes foom, wants to kill all humans It is also morally repulsive: doesn't matter if billions of people die because extinction risk is the only thing that actually matters, pivotal acts BUT I still think the dangers from AI are massive and to be taken extremely seriously. Even if AI doesn't have any intent to kill humans, it can put us all out of jobs, marginalize us and take our resources away (maybe that wheat field is better for solar cells) and lead to our eventual demise. Or it can be used by malicious humans to inflict misery on many. I do think that there is a real process to get to a good outcome as long as many of the people creating and training it have good intentions. But the chance of it going wrong is quite significant, 10% seems at least a reasonable estimate.