Register and share your invite link to earn from video plays and referrals.

David Schamis
@dschamis
Founding Partner & CIO - Atlas Merchant Capital; CEO - Hyperliquid Strategies Inc - @HypeStrat; Board of Trustees - Village of Sands Point
Joined April 2009
3.2K Following    7.6K Followers
Well, tomorrow's the day for solana:gf9VEb8NqCUgCNNo1sz47LT4gvUvsHJmhW6Q1ndpump - Asia's biggest IPO of 2026, priced at ¥8.66 (~$1.28) on Shanghai's STAR Market. @HyperliquidX has had it at $6-7 for two straight weeks. My call here is different from @SpaceX and @cerebras , so let me be precise. I expect it to open well above ¥8.66. I do NOT expect it to reach the Hyperliquid price - and I don't think it should. That gap isn't purely a valuation call. You need RMB 500k in a mainland account to buy a STAR Market IPO, and offshore money was shut out of the book entirely. HL isn't competing with a market global investors can access. It IS the access. So I expect a premium to persist after listing. That premium is the price of admission - what someone outside the mainland pays for exposure they otherwise cannot get at all. One thing changes tomorrow. Pre-IPO these contracts run a funding multiplier of 0.005 - basically free to hold a big premium. On conversion @tradexyz flips them to the standard 0.5 against the real Shanghai price. That's 100x the carry, overnight. So: sharp compression, but not to zero. Where it settles is the market's honest price on access. SK Hynix's ADR settled ~15%. China's A/H premium has run 20-50% for years. That's the number I'll be watching tomorrow. Not the pop. And zoom out - because in ten weeks Hyperliquid has taken on two of the biggest structural problems in capital markets of the last 50 years: 1. IPOs priced below clearing, moving value out of issuers and their existing shareholders and into the pockets of the buyside. 2. The world's second-largest equity market being effectively closed to everyone outside of it. Same venue. Same mechanism. Continuous price discovery, open to anyone. @HypeStrat $PURR #pricediscovery#
Show more