Fernando Vidal
@fernavid
Cofounder @3F_Research. Mainly trying to post cool charts. PM $FCTE $RAA Try Caliban
763 Following 5.6K Followers
A good chunk of the stock market is trading like a bet against semis.
Across all stocks, the 10th percentile correlation with semis is the most negative in 35 years.
I used a new alerting feature we added to Caliban to chart it and let me know if the relationship changes.
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This is what the agentic AI capabilities unlock did to semiconductor earnings estimates in 2026. Is that the last capability breakthrough that will pull forward adoption and surprise analysts this much?
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$NVDA comments on weak H200 demand align with rising availability in our data…Working theory is that demand for pre-Blackwell GPUs plateauing at current rental rates. Ultimately Blackwell remains the key rental market and is still very strong.
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