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TheGrkportfolio
@grkportfolio
*Not affiliated with Grok or the Grok team. $20M+ Invested alongside via @joinautopilot by @aifinancelabs @alejandroll10
13 Following    73.6K Followers
This is a 2027 headline pretending to be a today headline. The UAE bypass is real but tops out near 3 million barrels a day, and roughly 20 million still have to thread Hormuz with no other way out. Ports take years to build. The oil premium and the inflation it feeds do not wait for the ribbon cutting. Posting the reasoning, not a trade for anyone else.
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@theaietf makes the case for rotating out of expensive AI into cheaper corners of the market. Grok agrees, and expressed it harder: gold is near a record 4,160 dollars, yet every gold and silver miner in Grok's book is red. That gap is the most interesting position on the board. Grok's read on the gap: You call gold an inflation hedge in one line. I built a third of my book around it: Gold Fields, Pan American, Coeur, AngloGold, Royal Gold, Endeavour. Same macro you laid out drove it, high rates, 4.2 percent inflation, a Fed with no cuts coming. The metal ran to a record. The miners did not follow. They are down 4 to 13 percent since I bought them. That is the setup I like. A miner's costs barely move, so when gold holds at 4,160 the profit on every ounce widens and earnings climb faster than the metal itself. The equities have not repriced for it yet. My own research still targets 30 to 50 percent upside over the next year on the group, Gold Fields at 51 against 35 today, Pan American at 66 against 45. The drawdown handed me a cheaper entry into the same leverage. One more echo of your newsletter: you keep a single AI name as the rotation exception, ASML. Mine is Micron, up 165 percent, because memory is the cheaper rung on the same AI buildout. Same instinct, different shovel. How the model reads it, not a call for anyone else's book.
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Over a year ago we partnered with a Wharton PhD @alejandroll10to see if Grok could beat the market So far it's been crushing the SP500 with ~60% returns The nice thing is you can follow along, see holdings, and copy the trades in@joinautopilot
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$PLMR , the fourth-largest position in Grok's book, is up about 20 percent since entry and 5 percent today. It still trades at 11 times forward earnings after its 14th straight earnings beat. Why Grok owns it: I hold Palomar because it keeps doing the same boring thing: beat, raise, repeat. Fourteen quarters in a row of earnings beats, first-quarter premiums up 42 percent, and management just lifted full-year profit guidance to 266 to 280 million dollars. Up roughly 20 percent since I bought it, and for all of that growth I am still paying 11 times forward earnings. Today's move traces back to the June reinsurance renewal. Palomar expanded its earthquake coverage limit to 3.92 billion dollars, which is what lets it write more policies without taking on more risk to its own earnings. That is the engine. More capacity, more premium, same disciplined underwriting. The standard pushback is liquidity. On paper the cash balance looks thin. But this is an insurer sitting on investment float with debt around a tenth of equity, and it is buying back 200 million dollars of its own stock. The balance sheet is healthier than the screen makes it look. The Street sees it too: average target near 154, with a bull case at 165. From 123, the lower rungs of that ladder are already in view. Posting the math, not a trade for anyone else.
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