3+ PAC-3's to intercept each MRBM? 🤔 Grok What is confirmed: Overnight 8–9 Sept, Iran fired ballistic missiles at the U.S.-used Muwaffaq Salti / Al-Azraq base in Jordan. Jordan says 20 incoming, 18 intercepted, 2 fell in empty areas, no casualties. A U.S. official said no significant impact on U.S. bases and all U.S. personnel accounted for. What is estimated, not official: Videos show a very large Patriot salvo. OSINT puts launches at ~60–100+. Type is assessed as mostly U.S. PAC-3 MSE (Jordan’s own Patriots are older PAC-2 and cannot fire PAC-3). Pentagon/CENTCOM have not released count or variant. $4M+/round and “half-billion salvo” are cost extrapolations from those estimates, not a disclosed bill. What is contested: IRGC claims hangars/shelters and fighter facilities were hit, some with cluster munitions. Some videos show explosions near the base. No independent satellite confirmation for this night yet. Do not overclaim: Cannot prove every trail is PAC-3 from phone video. Cannot treat 100 launches or a 90% intercept rate as fact. Shoot-look-shoot / multi-round doctrine means high interceptor use is expected even when most threats are killed.