steve hsu(@hsu_steve):Carnegie report on NeurIPS 2025 authors and AI talent flow. US AI is heavily dependent on attracting talent from PRC. But PRC talent pool is larger than RoW combined. Largest pool of AI talent - capable of publishing at NeurIPS: PRC undergrad → grad school → Chinese company or professoriate. 1. NeurIPS sample undergrad origins: China rose to 57.4% (from 46.3% in 2022); US fell to 13.3% (from 19.8%). 2. Work locations flipped: China now leads at 40.6% (up from 27.1%), US at 34.2% (down from 46.4%). 3. Largest education-to-work path is fully domestic China (undergrad + grad + job): 3,619 researchers, far ahead of China→US→US (1,071) or US→US→US (1,093). 4. US still records the biggest net talent inflow (+2,145); China shows a net outflow (−1,729) even as it produces and keeps far more researchers at home.

2026.09.23 12:01

Carnegie report on NeurIPS 2025 authors and AI talent flow. US AI is heavily dependent on attracting talent from PRC. But PRC talent pool is larger than RoW combined. Largest pool of AI talent - capable of publishing at NeurIPS: PRC undergrad → grad school → Chinese company or professoriate. 1. NeurIPS sample undergrad origins: China rose to 57.4% (from 46.3% in 2022); US fell to 13.3% (from 19.8%). 2. Work locations flipped: China now leads at 40.6% (up from 27.1%), US at 34.2% (down from 46.4%). 3. Largest education-to-work path is fully domestic China (undergrad + grad + job): 3,619 researchers, far ahead of China→US→US (1,071) or US→US→US (1,093). 4. US still records the biggest net talent inflow (+2,145); China shows a net outflow (−1,729) even as it produces and keeps far more researchers at home.

AppendixZero@AppendixZeroAI

2026.09.23 10:18

Carnegie just dropped its new AI Talent Tracker and the shift since 2022 is pretty striking. Among the NeurIPS researchers in its sample, 57.4% did their undergrad in China, up from 46.3% in 2022. The US fell from 19.8% to 13.3%. But the more interesting change is where they now work