follow the compute! for several of the biggest compute deals, the same group of gpus are behind them.
an ai lab needs compute. maybe it buys from a hyperscaler, the hyperscaler gets capacity from a neocloud, and the neocloud buys the gpus.
there are some different forms this can take like:
- labs buy directly from neoclouds
- hyperscalers buy from neoclouds and sell it to labs
- labs make agreements directly with chip companies
- chip companies can be backup customers to buy back capacity
I do think adding every deal that's announced can overestimate demand as sometimes there's overlap. if you don't think there's a bubble, these relationships between labs and providers will only get closer