Everyone is talking about who will win the World Cup.
I think a more interesting question is:
Which underdog will outperform expectations?
That's why I've been looking at this market on
@42space
"Which underdog team will progress the furthest?"
Market link
My position is on Japan, but why?
The public tends to overprice famous teams and underprice disciplined teams that consistently perform above expectations.
Japan has done it before.
They're capable of doing it again.
The best prediction markets aren't always the biggest ones.
Potential 114% profit here.
Sometimes the edge is hiding in a market nobody is paying attention to.
This feels like one of them.