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milian
@milianstx
Privacy GCR @Arcium
3.8K Following    9.2K Followers
There was never a market for what an asset is worth in a future that has not arrived and Multiverse markets are that market! I wrote a piece on how they work and where they break. The odds were never the point, the world was.
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Introducing the Parimutuel Market Maker (PMM). A new trading mechanism designed specifically for permissionless prediction markets. Only possible on Solana.
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The Privacy Show returns! This week, @catmcgee hosts @milianstx, @herz0g, and @typi_cal_ to talk all things privacy on Solana Today at 2PM ET here on X
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Gigabullish open-source and Private AI What if we could run it on Blackthorn? 😼
> be Kimi > hear “Chinese open-source models are years behind” every week > ship Kimi K3 > top the Frontend Code Arena > outperform Opus 4.8 on every benchmark > Fable 5 level coding but Sonnet price > release the weights for everyone this is the open source ChatGPT moment.
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Arcium has now processed over 2 million encrypted computations. The internet's privacy engine.
By building with Arcium on Solana, you have first-mover advantage on all these unbuilt primitives onchain: - Dark Pools - Encrypted Voting - Raffles or Lotteries - Commit-Reveal Markets - Poker or Blackjack - Private Perps - Anything with randomness, access control or threshold decryption If it needs privacy to make markets efficient, protect the consumer, or exist at all, it can be built. Go zero to one and build with Arcium.
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Arcium has now processed over 2 million encrypted computations. The internet's privacy engine.
Information markets are quite literally one of the top 3 most interesting things happening in markets today. Just like how millions already check Polymarket for election odds instead of the polls, people will also look to markets for: - Which decision best achieves a goal - What happens to markets if an event occurs - How outcomes depend on each other - The full range of what could happen - Who's consistently right - What people actually think - Insights surfaced by informed participants - Where the world's attention is heading
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probably the best article on prediction markets i've ever seen 👇 thanks for documenting hyperstitions @milianstx 🙏
Yes, you read that correctly: the majority present voted _against_ chat control. But due to the absurdly undemocratic, illegal, procedure they're using, it comes into law anyway after being rejected multiple times before in previous votes. Insane.
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To steal a line from a guy who unfortunately didn’t mean it: Let a thousand flowers bloom. This is lovely.
20 years ago the Pentagon, Google, and the CIA all tried to price information with markets. Today the idea moves tens of billions a month, and it's splintering into markets for every kind of information. I spent the last few weeks mapping all of it: over a dozen market types, the structures underneath them, and who's building each one. Feedback is appreciated! If I missed any projects or market types let me know=)
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Every confidential AI cloud today trusts a CPU TEE somewhere in the stack. Those chips have had over a dozen published exploits since 2020, including key extraction and forged attestation. Arcium Blackthorn removes the CPU TEE from the trust chain entirely.
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New ATH for encrypted money in umbra: - web app live: any wallet works with umbra - live on app store - private payroll live, seeing huge interest - private vesting available - bridge live alongside the web launch umbra is now at an inflection point with distribution across all platforms, payroll and vesting recently available, and increased SDK integrations, umbra is in a pristine position for TVL to explode. everything's in place. number go up.
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Umbra is live everywhere. Encrypt any coin in 5 seconds.
The mechanism that priced Google's IPO has never worked on-chain. We're opening Raise Zero - the first public sealed-bid uniform-price auction on @solana Every founders today face the problem of how to price tokens fairly while avoiding bots or whales outbidding everyone. Sealed-bid uniform-price auctions are how Google IPO'd in 2004. How the U.S. Treasury clears $20T+ in bonds a year. They're the gold standard for credible price discovery - but they've never worked on-chain, because blockchains are transparent by design. Sealed bids need privacy that didn't exist... Together with @Arcium we're changing that. Their MPC network runs computation directly on encrypted data, without ever revealing it. If you've ever lost a fair allocation to a bot, or watched a "discovery" round clear at a number that had nothing to do with price discovery... Test the first Sealed Bid Auction on Solana:
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The weakest part of on-chain raises is still the initial valuation. That is why we chose sealed-bid auctions for Crafts raises and built Raise Zero to let anyone try them with mockUSDC. This auction logic has priced U.S. Treasuries for decades and was used in Google’s IPO. With Arcium, we’re bringing it on-chain. For Crafts-issued Stakeholder Tokens linked to company upside, this matters even more. The first price should come from conviction, not information advantage. So we built a no-risk version: 1. Claim mockUSDC 2. Analyze the mock projects 3. Set commit amount, set max FDV, or accept market Try it yourself:
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Fair price discovery for token launches Another example of how encrypted compute unlocks entirely new market mechanisms onchain Megahyped for Crafts, go try it out before the first raise.