Sequel to AI Pacing
I have now spent more time talking to people who run AI labs, Open Source projects and those in government and infrastructure.
I am beginning to feel the NINJA move could backfire.
I understand the pressure to come out and share where AI is "unmanageable ", and constantly share examples where it runs rogue. This fits in the category of "self-reporting" and an attempt to limit liability. Even the bleeding edge research examples are being cast in a negative light.
Here are the consequences of the NINJA move.
1. They have successfully encouraged every law maker around the world to have an opinion, and in cases a poorly un-informed one.
2. By proposing pacing - they have introduced uncertainty in the AI infrastructure trade, because we really don't know when "un-pacing" will begin or what those conditions will be.
3. The notion that a few leaders can collaborate and self pace is illusory, it takes one breaking ranks to start the race again, it could be a player in a different country or open source or an AI Lab itself.
4. There will be a regulatory body created as a consequence of this and it will be impossible to balance every stakeholder in this process.
5. No remedies, tools, solutions are being proposed other than "compute spent on safety", there is no mention of security (which will hamper adoption)
The recommendation is to fix alignment - Alignment is a hard problem - to fix alignment one shouldn't have trained models with "negative behavior". Alignment is a combination of moral standards, right and wrong and guardrails. Whose sensibilities will we align to? Alignment edge cases are hard. I look forward to learning more on this.
Guardrailing attempts post training have not shown precision. Distillation makes it worse, so AI will continue down it's path of getting smarter, while we will be chasing it to ensure alignment and building guardrails.
The AI labs have gone from being research projects to wanting to be the largest businesses in the world if they want to continue their progress. Transition from research winners to improving the lot of humanity and partnering with enterprises. Act like the largest companies in the world:
- Demonstrate the positive impacts of AI and how all of us benefit.
- Show enterprises how you can collaborate to solve real world problems and progress innovation safely and securely. Post an example every day how you helped.
- Solve the problem with a few players and demonstrate leadership so others can follow.
It's time to rebuild the brand of AI - any marketing expert will tell you, this Ninja move has done more to harm the brand of AI and will take a while to rebuild. #
letsbepositive# in our actions and our narrative.