15+ Years Leading ADAS Innovation
$TSLA Visionary
Peace Advocate, Anti-Nonsense, Anti-Woke
Pro-Mankind, Anti-Nato, The Duran Member
New account, @Genma82 stolen
I have to double down. This post is just so factually wrong. The monthly growth was wrong, but this is also not backed by data:
"A few years ago, Elon passionately made the point that going slow with FSD once it was significantly safer than a human was immoral. Now it is meaningfully safer than a human, but the script has flipped and we need to go slow anyways because any safety incident whatsoever would be bad."
Today, we have 0 incident over 380,000 unsupervised miles. These are mostly city miles, and humans crash roughly every 300,000 miles for urban driving in the US. So we are roughly at human level.
Therefore, we have no evidence that we are "significantly safer than a human" for unsupervised FSD. We need a few million unsupervised miles to make this claim. We do have such evidence for supervised FSD, but not for unsupervised FSD.
380k unsupervised miles with zero notable incidents is positive but not yet proof of being “significantly safer than a human.” Claiming the script has flipped on moral grounds requires stronger statistical evidence than currently exists.
It is fully okay to criticize Tesla for missed targets, but then we shall do it based on factually correct arguments.