Ray Dalio: “Deficit should go below 3% of GDP or there’ll be a supply-demand problem in bonds.”
He said this last year, and now it’s happening. Nobody wants 30-year US bonds below 5%.
Now Citadel says the same and warns for higher inflation.
Dump the dollar, own hard assets.
CITADEL WARNS BESSENT’S BUYBACKS COULD BACKFIRE
Citadel Securities calls Treasury’s expanded bond buybacks “financial repression,” warning they could weaken the dollar and fuel inflation.
Bessent’s strategy aims to suppress long-term yields, potentially using Treasury’s cash reserves to fund purchases.
But Citadel argues intervention doesn’t solve the underlying problem of high deficits and inflationary pressure — it simply shifts stress elsewhere.
The firm says lasting relief requires tighter fiscal policy and potentially higher Fed rates.