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Coulou
@okay_lets_ride
eternal optimist, abundance maxi, it is what it is
Joined September 2021
498 Following    7.8K Followers
Recap of key points on why ZRO is one of the most asymetric bet in the 3 articles: - Started in 2021 by chad founders - Leader of the cross chain messaging vertical - Didn't really lose market share after the KelpDAO incident - Integrated 100+ chains, found low-level bugs, realize could build something better - Started with the approach "what if zk is solved" and improved on storage, execution, spreading block data and proving. - 2mm tx/s per zone, interoperable zones, start with markets, payments / privacy, evm - Markets zone (ATLAS) is matching, clearing, settlement and risk in one system - Headless exchange, trading venues bring users and own the experience; market creators define what trades: perps, spot, stocks, commodities, bonds, predictions; market makers quote prices - LayerZero does not compete with the venues it serves - Open ATLAS is for crypto-native apps / open to anyone. Institutional ATLAS for permisioned - One all-in trading fee. The venue receives a rebate of 20% to 65%, by tier based ZRO staked, on volume, or on both - Having matching, clearing, settlement and risk in one system allows exchanges to make more $ by dollar traed - capacity at launch set to 200k/s on Atlas. median latency of 965 microseconds from order to answer, and 2.6 milliseconds at the 99th percentile, faster than any other crypto venue by orders of magnitude - DTCC (114 trillion of securities in custody) "investigates" whether Zero can scale its tokenization service and its collateral chain - ICE (owns NYSE & six clearing houses) is exploring Zero for trading, clearing, settlement and capital formation - Citadel Securities (35% of US retail stock volume) bought ZRO and will "evaluate" uses in trading, clearing and settlement - Open ATLAS has four named launch partners: Bullish, GTE, DefinedFi and TrueNorth. - 20 teams are building front-end for Atlas - 5 of the worlds largest exchanges deep in testing but expected 2-3 of those to deploy pending regulatory hurdles - Payment zone has Google Cloud exploring micropayments between AI agents and Tether said in Feb "micro-payments at an unprecedented scale" - LayerZero's stated target of $0.000001 fee per txn - Bryan has shared in recent podcasts that privacy was a core focus of the payment zone. - Likely for agentic micropayments use cases to grow in the coming years and be a more central narrative - Supply overhang for ZRO is smaller than the unlock schedule suggests - Institutions and buybacks took 19.77% of supply, 197.7 million ZRO, in 18 months - Of the 134.7 million ZRO unlocked to investors by 31 May, 63.8% had not moved - More ZRO has been bought back and locked up than sold into the market - Foundation bought 50 million ZRO from early investors, off-market, at about $2.00, and re-locked them. - LayerZero Labs bought $10.0 million on the open market, and Stargate revenue bought $2.8 million. The Foundation's 183 million ZRO stay locked until Zero's mainnet - a16z bought at about $2.36 in April 2025, locked until about April 2028. Thirteen institutional wallets bought 42.6 million ZRO at $2.05. Citadel Securities, ARK and Tether bought "at fair market value" on a day ZRO traded at $1.77 to $1.84. - Bryan has said almost all of the 2026 purchases are locked or vesting - CoinGecko shows 399 million ZRO circulating. Outside the Foundation, Labs, the team, investors who have not sold and the institutional buyers, I estimate about 200 million - Every fee the network produces will flow back to the token: trading fees from the markets zone, payment fees from payments, priority fees and MEV from general compute, all of it through buybacks and burns - Stargate revenue: buys ZRO every month. About $3.3 million last 12 months. - Messaging fee switch: off after four votes. Worth at most $3.5 million a year at September's fee level - ATLAS trading fees: 75% of fees after the venue rebate buy and burn ZRO. - Gas, priority fees and MEV on Zero: flow to buybacks and burns - All-in-all massive improvement to ZRO tokenomics with the launch of Mainnet & Atlas - The edge: assets and collateral from day one - collateral on Solana, a trade on ATLAS, settlement on Canton. interoperability is LayerZero DNA. - stablecoins and tokenized stocks are spread across issues and chains - using collateral better is worth a lot - major clearing houses held about $1.04 trillion of initial margin at the end of 2025. US futures brokers hold $442.7 billion of customer funds - LayerZro has bootstrapped third-party chains in the past (Plasma, Robinhood Chain). It has relationship with most issuers. Can scale flows quickly. - ZRO priced as 32nd chain by mcap. - Atlas business will command exchange multiple - Total rev figures will be very different depending on Atlas scale mainly, and other secondary rev areas - Tokenized stocks growth + perps growth is big opp for LayerZero to scale volume rapidly as volume caps expands and restrictions soften with partners - ZRO at its July low looked like Solana at its December 2022 low - Solana fell 96.9%, from $260 to $8.00. ZRO fell 90.6%, from $7.55 to $0.707 - Sixty-seven days after its low, Solana was 2.6 times higher. ZRO is 3.0 times higher - FTX label, exploit, departures, future upgrade on the horizon, lots of event based similarity - Improved scale & throughput --> new use cases - No one really believed in Solana at the lows, and no one really believe in ZRO at the lows - Asymetric returns - Need to temper expectations around launch - Volume will likely scale progressively, still regulatory limit (caps, permissioned pools) - "buy the news" or "sell the news" tbd short term - long-term, pocket aces
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