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The last year of prediction markets was a race for licenses and liquidity.
The next one is a race for the front door. Exchanges will compete for front ends. Front ends will compete for the user's first screen.
Opinion has been building for this.
No financial or legal advice. Check full details with CFTC sources. Full letter:
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Since 2006, CFTC staff held tech providers to three rules: users had to already have a broker, the software couldn't steer them to a specific venue, and fees couldn't be tied to trading.
26-25 lifts all three.
Front ends can finally earn from the volume they bring.
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No-Action Letter 26-25 names the products directly: event contracts and perpetual contracts.
A footnote confirms this goes beyond crypto software. Wallets, trading terminals, aggregators, news apps, AI agents. Any of them can become a US trading entry point.
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🚨 Prediction markets are coming to every app in America. The CFTC just cleared the way.
Opinion has been building for this.
CFTC No-Action Letter 26-25: any app can offer prediction markets and perps to US users. No broker license needed.
Onboard users. Promote contracts. Charge fees. Share exchange revenue.
Every app with users is now a potential prediction market 🧵
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🏈The NFL’s first Thursday Night Football game of 2026 is set: Lions at Bills, with Buffalo opening the new Highmark Stadium.
Opinion traders favor Buffalo. Can Detroit spoil the housewarming?
Trade the matchup 👇
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⚡ Product Update: NFL markets are live on Opinion.
The season is underway. Follow the action, explore the matchups, and trade your view week by week, from kickoff to the final whistle.
Put your football knowledge to work 🏈
Trade now:
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🚨 BREAKING: OpenAI will not go public in 2026 as it prioritizes safety and alignment work, CEO Sam Altman told Fortune, per Axios.
Opinion traders still price a 25% chance of an IPO by Dec. 31. Is the timeline repricing fast enough?
Trade it 👇
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Grok is now in Microsoft Copilot. Distribution may matter more than model rankings.
MSFT $495.63
Opinion consensus $493.69
Most-traded $491.58
Trade MSFT on Opinion↓
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Finally, twice the screen to watch the Fed‘s next move
🚨 JUST IN: Brent is holding above $100 after fresh U.S.–Iran attacks disrupted Hormuz. WTI settled at $96.05.
Trade your opinion 👇
⚡ Product Update: Opinion now speaks 7 languages.
Spanish, French, and Vietnamese are now available — joining English, Traditional Chinese, Japanese, and Russian.
Switch languages anytime and explore prediction markets in the language that works for you.
Your markets. Your language.
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🚨 BREAKING: The Korean won has climbed to a 23-month high against the U.S. dollar, gaining 16.4% in just two months.
🚨 JUST IN: OPEC+ keeps October output unchanged. WTI: $91.84.
Opinion’s oil read says the move is fading, not breaking out. Its macro market puts a 2026 Fed hike at 59%.
Does $90+ oil keep the Fed hawkish?
Trade the macro view 👇
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🚨 BREAKING: Tesla launches driverless Cybercabs in Austin.
Spot $376.37. Opinion’s Sep. 4 consensus: $370.42 — 1.58% lower.
Can Cybercab beat the crowd? Trade TSLA 👇
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🚨 JUST IN: OpenAI has launched GPT-6 Astra, its first broadly deployed model rated “Critical” for cybersecurity capability.
Could Astra accelerate OpenAI’s path to an IPO?👇
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🚨 JUST IN: $AAPL gained 2.6% as John Ternus took over. Next: Sept. 9 launch.
Now: $324.96. Prediction market traders see $320.41 for Sep. 4—1.4% below spot.
Pullback ahead? Trade $AAPL 👇
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🚨 JUST IN: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $3.5 billion in August—their largest monthly inflow since July 2025.
Where does Bitcoin go next?
🎾US OPEN: Carlos Alcaraz wins in straight sets on his US Open return, beating Roman Safiullin 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 after four months out with a wrist injury.
Who wins the men’s title from here?
Trade tennis markets on Opinion 👉
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🚨 JUST IN: Asia-Pacific stocks fell 0.6% and Brent crude rose 1.4% to $89.30 after hawkish Fed signals and renewed U.S.-Iran tensions.
What will the Fed do in September? Trade the decision on Opinion👇
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⚡ Product Update: Finance on Opinion has a new look.
Discover what the market is watching across crypto, stocks, commodities, and indices, all in one redesigned experience. 👉
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