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🎾 LIVE NOW: The China Open final is underway in Beijing.
Zheng Qinwen faces Mirra Andreeva, one win away from becoming the first Chinese player to win the title.
Opinion gives Zheng a 41% chance.
History at home or Andreeva?
Trade the final 👇
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🚨 JUST IN: Zheng Qinwen wins her fifth straight match to return to the China Open semifinals for the first time in two years.
Next up: Elise Mertens, tonight at 19:00 HKT.
🚨 JUST IN: Zheng Qinwen wins her fifth straight match to return to the China Open semifinals for the first time in two years.
Next up: Elise Mertens, tonight at 19:00 HKT.
🚨 JUST IN: 30.5% chance of a predictdotfun token launch by Dec. 31, 2026.
How soon is “soon”? Trade the timeline 👇
🚨Following Shayne Coplan’s TOKEN2049 comments that Polymarket is exploring an on-chain asset tied to its economy, Opinion prices a $POLY launch by year-end at 14%.
Trade the timeline 👇
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🎾ATP 1000: Wu Yibing beats Michael Zheng in straight sets in Shanghai.
Next up: top seed Alexander Zverev.
Wu has the home crowd. Can he pull off the upset?
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🚨 NEW OPINION: Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez promised elections but gave no date. Opposition supporters demand Machado’s return. Maduro remains in U.S. custody.
Maduro, Rodríguez, or no head of state?
Trade the outcome 👇
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🚨 JUST IN: OpenAI DevDay 2026 begins today in San Francisco, with Sam Altman’s keynote at 10 AM PT / 1 AM HKT.
OpenAI says the event will feature new tools, technical sessions and hands-on demos.
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🚨 BREAKING: NVIDIA added $150B to its buyback authorization, lifting the remaining program to $235B—a record increase.
$NVDA is at $231.32. Opinion traders see $231.37 for Oct 2, nearly flat to spot.
Is the buyback fully priced?
Trade $NVDA 👇
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🚨 JUST IN: Xinyu Wang has taken the opening set 7–5 against Joanna Garland at the Singapore Open. The Round of 16 clash is live.
Can Wang close it out, or is a comeback coming?
Trade the match on Opinion 👇
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🚨 JUST IN: Meta is bringing Muse to AI glasses and expects 100+ styles by year-end.
The product push is live. Now the market decides what it means for $META.
Trade $META on Opinion 👇
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🚨 JUST IN: Meta jumped 6% to a seven-month high.
Opinion sees the uptrend strengthening, but its market-implied price is $690.86, 2.48% below $709.16 spot.
Trade $META 👇
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The last year of prediction markets was a race for licenses and liquidity.
The next one is a race for the front door. Exchanges will compete for front ends. Front ends will compete for the user's first screen.
Opinion has been building for this.
No financial or legal advice. Check full details with CFTC sources. Full letter:
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Since 2006, CFTC staff held tech providers to three rules: users had to already have a broker, the software couldn't steer them to a specific venue, and fees couldn't be tied to trading.
26-25 lifts all three.
Front ends can finally earn from the volume they bring.
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No-Action Letter 26-25 names the products directly: event contracts and perpetual contracts.
A footnote confirms this goes beyond crypto software. Wallets, trading terminals, aggregators, news apps, AI agents. Any of them can become a US trading entry point.
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🚨 Prediction markets are coming to every app in America. The CFTC just cleared the way.
Opinion has been building for this.
CFTC No-Action Letter 26-25: any app can offer prediction markets and perps to US users. No broker license needed.
Onboard users. Promote contracts. Charge fees. Share exchange revenue.
Every app with users is now a potential prediction market 🧵
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🏈The NFL’s first Thursday Night Football game of 2026 is set: Lions at Bills, with Buffalo opening the new Highmark Stadium.
Opinion traders favor Buffalo. Can Detroit spoil the housewarming?
Trade the matchup 👇
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⚡ Product Update: NFL markets are live on Opinion.
The season is underway. Follow the action, explore the matchups, and trade your view week by week, from kickoff to the final whistle.
Put your football knowledge to work 🏈
Trade now:
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🚨 BREAKING: OpenAI will not go public in 2026 as it prioritizes safety and alignment work, CEO Sam Altman told Fortune, per Axios.
Opinion traders still price a 25% chance of an IPO by Dec. 31. Is the timeline repricing fast enough?
Trade it 👇
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Grok is now in Microsoft Copilot. Distribution may matter more than model rankings.
MSFT $495.63
Opinion consensus $493.69
Most-traded $491.58
Trade MSFT on Opinion↓
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Finally, twice the screen to watch the Fed‘s next move
