Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.
1.2K Following 612.6K Followers
New @CookPolitical: our final Senate ratings are live. We're projecting a Dem gain of 3-6 seats, and #MISEN# moves from Toss Up to Lean D. Full analysis by @JessicaTaylor:
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Quirk of 2026: the high number of GOP insiders who privately wish they could hold the Senate majority while Paxton/Marshall lose (but Hinson/Rogers/Collins win), and a few Dems hoping the Senate flips while El-Sayed loses. Neither scenario all that likely.
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New @CookPolitical House ratings: we're projecting a Dem gain of 12-25 seats, more than enough for a majority.
Solid/Likely/Lean D: 222
Solid/Likely/Lean R: 195
Toss Up: 18
Full analysis by @ercovey:
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New @CookPolitical: with less than 40 days to go, the most critical voters are the "doubly disenchanted" - the ~17% of Trump disapprovers who aren't (yet) in the Dem column. The critical pain point for them? Energy/gas prices. My full analysis:
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