Here's a counterintuitive Bitcoin FACT you probably haven't run into before๐๐
I recently saw someone claim that without Bitcoin's bubbles, it wouldn't be worth investing in since it would then miss out on all the epic gains.
So I removed ALL of the bubbles, as you know I've been doing with the Bubble-free power law.
Then I measured the 4-year growth rate. WITH bubbles vs WITHOUT:
2017: 109% vs 137%
2018: 84% vs 115%
2021: 35% vs 72%
2025: 17% vs 52%
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๐Yes, you're reading that correctly. Delete the bubbles and Bitcoin's growth rate goes UP ๐คฏ
Why? A bubble inflates your return on the way in, then wrecks it four years later when that top becomes your starting point. The 17% in 2025 is measuring from the 2021 mania. Take the mania out, it's 52%.
The manias were never where the gains came from. They're noise on top of an asset that has compounded faster than anything on earth for a decade WITHOUT them. They are an entirely different phase, and they come and go.
Stop planning around the bubbles, people. Plan around the orange line ๐งก
NFA
-SW
Bitcoin velocity is picking up.
I explained to Joe how this effect would be expected along with the business cycle picking up, with the PMI levels acting as a potential gauge for Bitcoin velocity. ๐