The headlines today say John Healey has a £35 billion hole in his Budget.
The figure comes from the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) – but the think-tank also says that Healey's headroom, the margin by which government revenues are projected to exceed day-to-day spending in a few years' time, may have barely changed since Rachel Reeves's spring forecast, falling from £24 billion to perhaps £20 billion now.
So what's going on?
The IFS's £35 billion figure isn't for headroom.
✍️ John O’Neill
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