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Stitch
@stitchdegen
Meme Research |
Joined December 2024
4K Following    25.9K Followers
Continuing the highcap recap series on Robinhood Chain, and the first one I want to talk about today is $PARE The market has been calling this one “Pendle for tokenized stocks” I went through the docs, app, oracle and roadmap again, and I think the comparison makes sense, but only if you understand it correctly. Simply looking at the MC and calling $PARE a mini $PENDLE oversimplifies the whole thesis 1. What is $PARE actually building? Robinhood Stock Tokens like AAPL, SPY or QQQ don’t pay dividends directly to holders in cash. Dividends are reinvested and reflected through the token’s multiplier The problem is that this yield is basically embedded inside the stock token PARE splits one stock token into two parts : PT is the principal. It trades below spot because the dividend component has been stripped out, and it redeems back into the stock token at maturity YT represents the dividend stream from now until maturity PT + YT can be merged back into the original stock token In simple terms : Pendle separates principal and yield from crypto yield-bearing assets PARE takes the same grammar and applies it to tokenized stocks That’s why the narrative is so easy for CT to understand 2. But $PARE is NOT a mini $PENDLE This is where I think a lot of people are getting it wrong $PARE isn’t a Pendle fork, it isn’t part of the Pendle ecosystem, and $PENDLE pumping doesn’t automatically mean $PARE should pump too Pendle is already a proven protocol across multiple cycles, multiple chains and at serious scale PARE is still extremely early The similarity is the PT/YT thesis The difference is the underlying asset Pendle mainly tokenizes crypto yield from things like staking, lending and other yield-bearing assets PARE tokenizes dividend yield from tokenized stocks So I think a more accurate way to describe it is : $PARE = a high-beta Pendle-style trade for tokenized stocks on Robinhood Chain It’s not beta to the $PENDLE token itself. It’s beta to the yield-trading thesis that Pendle already validated 3. What I like is that it isn’t just a narrative This is what makes me rank $PARE above a lot of the average memes on Hood The product is live. The terminal can split, merge and trade PT/YT. AAPL, SPY, QQQ and PFE currently have live series PFE is probably the most interesting example because its higher dividend makes the PT discount and YT exposure much more noticeable, so the yield-trading thesis is easier to see in practice instead of just existing on a slide The team has also built an oracle designed to classify changes in the multiplier as either dividends or stock splits, which becomes pretty important if they want to expand this structure across more stocks and eventually use PT as collateral But there’s one number worth remembering: an oracle covering 9 tokens does NOT mean 9 series are trading. There are only 4 live series right now, the early split volume disclosed by the team is still very small, and lending remains treasury-only So “product is live” proves the team can execute It doesn’t prove product-market fit yet 4. The tokenomics are relatively clean $PARE has a fixed 1B supply, roughly 97.7% went into LP, around 2.26% is team allocation under lock, and there is no additional minting The protocol charges 10 bps on splits + 5% of the dividend portion when YT is redeemed, with protocol fees designed to market-buy and burn $PARE No staking. No emissions And with almost the entire supply going into LP through a fair-launch structure, the tokenomics look cleaner than most regular Hood launches The flywheel the market is betting on is pretty simple : As stock token adoption grows, more users should start splitting these assets into PT/YT, driving higher split volume and more protocol fees. Those fees are then used to buy back and burn $PARE, gradually reducing the supply Sounds great But right now, this is still much more of a theoretical flywheel than one proven by meaningful cash flow 5. And that’s also the biggest issue with $PARE The market is pricing the narrative faster than the usage Pool liquidity is still thin, lending isn’t public yet, the audit isn’t finished, and there isn’t enough revenue yet to say buybacks/burns are having a meaningful impact on the token So I wouldn’t value $PARE like a mature DeFi protocol Right now, I see it more as an option on execution The market is paying upfront for the possibility that the team can turn “Pendle for tokenized stocks” into real usage 6. The next catalysts are what really matter The closest catalyst is the Pashov audit After that, the roadmap becomes more interesting with expanded lending for pSPY, pAAPL and pQQQ, additional stock series, a USDG vault and broader oracle coverage But I want to make this clear : That’s the roadmap. Those things haven’t happened yet What I actually want to see is : audit comes back clean lending opens to users split volume starts growing PT pools get deeper liquidity p-tokens actually get used as collateral more dividend-heavy series launch and eventually fees start generating meaningful buybacks/burns If those things happen, PARE starts moving from a narrative trade => protocol trade 7. Competition can’t be ignored either Pendle is already on Robinhood Chain StockYield is also working on the PT/YT primitive for tokenized stocks So PARE doesn’t have a monopoly on this concept The real moat needs to come from building oracle + series + liquidity + lending + distribution faster than competitors If Pendle or StockYield builds better stock series and captures most of the flow, the “Pendle for stocks” premium on $PARE could compress very quickly On the other hand, if PARE manages to own this vertical before the bigger players seriously enter it, that’s exactly where the asymmetric part of the thesis comes from 8. So how do I rate $PARE? From a thesis perspective, I like it It’s solving a real problem, there’s a real product, the tokenomics are relatively clean, and Pendle has already proven that the market understands how to trade PT/YT But execution is still extremely early At the current valuation, the market isn’t buying a cheap meme anymore. It’s buying an option that PARE could become the yield layer for tokenized stocks on Robinhood Chain If the audit comes back clean, lending goes public, dividend-heavy series launch and, most importantly, split volume, fees and burns actually start growing, then I think the market has a reason to re-rate it as a small protocol rather than just another RWA narrative But if everyone is trading $PARE while nobody is actually splitting AAPL, SPY or PFE, then the thesis ultimately stays on the timeline The invalidation is also pretty clear. The thesis starts breaking if the audit finds critical issues, split volume still fails to grow after lending opens, or Pendle/StockYield launches stock series and captures most of the flow before PARE can build a real moat Overall, I see this as a speculative quality bet. Not a blue chip, but definitely not a pure shitcoin either The chart has already moved quite a bit, so I’m not really interested in chasing it here. There are two support zones I’m watching: the first and closest one is around $14M MC, while the deeper one sits around $7M MC I’ll be watching the volume and how quickly the team continues to execute, then decide whether I want to take a bet around either of these zones At this point, what matters to me isn’t how much further $PARE can pump It’s whether usage can finally start catching up with the chart 0x15d36B6A28d8327ABc7aFABF0F106AE2c9Af5C4d
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