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Yet another commodity guy
@tleilax___
Commodity Portfolio Manager - Systematic mid-frequency futures & options - Switzerland - Options - Quantitative trading - Data driven
3K Following    53.7K Followers
Oh and for my American followers : the Russian bot army is targeting you too. So I did a little analysis of intraday volume anomaly, a classic in quant trading when applied to trading volume, here Reddit posting volume. The window is 11 Oct 2026, 01:00–12:00 UTC. The political list contributes 147 communities. The control group is the other non-political 825 channels. So this is a clean A/B test on the same website at the same time, to check if political channels are more affected than others. After all, Reddit could have experienced a tech issue at the same time ? That is why you do A/B testing. But nope, when that Russian botfarm went in flames, r/democraticparty postings suddenly went down 71% while the US non-political channels were up +4%. r/mississippi, r/rhodeisland and r/illinois posting volume collapsed too, pretty much the same pattern as the European country subreddits.
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Desperate enough to be willing to eat in Vlad's hand. Tells you all you need to know about how he sees his own prospects for the midterms.
The White House is now discreetely adjusting its narrative and says that only about 5 mbld is transiting Hormuz. ;)
If you see 40 ships transiting in this picture, I have a bridge (across Hormuz) to sell you.
That is a boatload of big rocks going downhill. The summer is so hot that the high-altitude pergelisol is melting.