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YQ
@yq_acc
Infra builder. Reading club:
2.8K Following    90.9K Followers
This is a bold and tough decision. Saving funds and refocusing on crucial milestones like 10 years ago will make @ethereumfndn more sustainable. Security, post-quantum cryptography, privacy can be the main focus to ensure @ethereum still the best go to platform for assets issuance and clearing. Additional experiments can be delegated to other entities sponsored by major share holders like @ethlabs_org @Eagles. After a decade, we’re forced back to the early-days lean core team mode. Hope things work out again.
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This year, the EF is decreasing its budget by roughly 40%, which entails some difficult decisions. The goal of the decreases was set out in the Treasury Management Policy last year: the EF is transitioning into being a long-term-oriented endowment-based organization, shifting from its pre-2026 average of spending ~15% of its remaining funds each year, toward a post-2030 target of ~5% per year. Often, when an organization goes through something like this, people try to pretend that nothing of great value was lost, that it is an efficiency increase, that the only people cut are unproductive dead weight, and everyone else stopped partying, studied the blade, entered cracked S-tier beast mode, and this was sufficient to make up for the downside. I will not try to pretend this. I respect my EF colleagues far too much to pretend that there was not much that is lost. They are brilliant people. They are dedicated engineers of whom some have worked on the Ethereum protocol for nearly a decade. They have brought a bright light to the Ethereum ecosystem with their code, their words, their warmth as human beings and their actions. My dearest hope is that they find a path that brings them fulfillment and happiness whether inside Ethereum or outside. Hopefully many will be able to bring their excellent talents and mindset to the wider Ethereum ecosystem, or the even wider CROPS world. Instead, I will try to explain what *are* some of the grand sacrifices being made. The Ethereum Strawmap is no small thing. It is an extremely ambitious undertaking seeking to replace and augment almost every part of the protocol - consensus, proofs, privacy, account model, state, and more. This is the third iteration of Ethereum, in the same way that the Merge was the second, even if the shipping style is less Big Bang and more one-piece-at-a-time. On top of this, the EF is increasing its role in the Access Layer. We are not compromising on Ethereum being a Deeply Impressive protocol, something worthy of its place in a world with quantum computing, rockets to Mars and powerful biotech and AI, and capable of meeting the challenges that this era will bring. Some of the deficit will be recovered through more work happening outside the EF. But not all. So what are the grand sacrifices that will enable a leaner effort to accomplish all of this? I will give a few examples (though far from an exhaustive list): * The multi-client model will shift in the direction of multiple clients existing less for _redundancy_, and more for _specialization_. Up to this point, redundancy has been the main security strategy: if one client has a bug, if it has less than 33%, the chain keeps going and does not even stop finalizing. We are increasingly exploring moving more pieces of the protocol to a different security strategy: AI-assisted formal verification. Some smaller pieces of Ethereum (eg. BLS libraries) have worked this way already for a long time. But soon many more parts of Ethereum will likely function on this model. This may greatly reduce resource requirements of shipping a large number of EIPs. The resources saved by client teams can ideally instead be used to better serve different specialized user needs, including EF Access Layer goals. * PSE (Privacy and Scaling Explorations) is winding down as a unit. The number of people working on ZKPs for privacy and scaling is probably as high as ever, but they are working less on "exploration" and more on *implementing* ZKP-based privacy and scaling into the Protocol and Access Layer * Devcon will likely over time become smaller-scale, somewhat more spartan, much lower-deficit than previous years, in addition to other changes in vision in line with the Mandate. * Fewer beyond-Ethereum megaprojects coming from EF. As I announced earlier this year, I am taking on some of the responsibility of doing projects in this category that I consider valuable with my personal funds. * EF institutional work is reducing in scope, specializing more specifically on creating replicable test cases of highly CROPS-friendly deployments, even if at smaller scale. These do not explain all departures; in some cases they do not explain departures at all and rather explain _reduced need for new spending_. But they are a large part of the strategy at play. In the longer term, I personally favor a "soft lean-and-done" approach to Ethereum: once the Strawmap is completed, generally stick to security fixes and small high-value changes, and have a much higher bar for considering new feature additions to the protocol. This allows Ethereum to remain capture-resistant without demanding very large budgets. Learn less from multimillion-line-of-code behemoth projects, more from bitcoin. The past years have been a challenging era for Ethereum. However, the ecosystem is adapting, both inside the EF and outside, and I am confident that Ethereum is very well-positioned to succeed and thrive.
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@yq_acc @ethlabs_org @BitMNR @Sharplink @barnabemonnot @adietrichs @_julianma thank you YQ! you've been a hugely valuable contributor to our work over the years, and very excited to see what the next version of our collab can be
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Let the figures argue. Three numbers from the last 18 months: Price of mid-tier intelligence: down ~80% in a year. Volume consumed: up ~7x in a year. Seat-priced software: repriced hard across H1 2026. The denominator is changing. Short the denominator.
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Capability is a deflating commodity. Consumption expands through the falling price. Revenue concentrates in the layer that meters the work, not the one that builds the model or sold the seat. The seat is being repriced. The token replaced it.
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Where did the seat budget go? It migrated to metered software. Cursor ended 2025 near $1.2B ARR, hit ~$3B run-rate by April 2026. Harvey: $0 to ~$200M in 36 months. Agentforce: $800M ARR, +169%. The CFO swapped payroll and seats for one compute line.
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If cheap meant dying, volume would fall. It rose. Google: 9.7T tokens/month (2024) → 480T (2025) → 3.2 quadrillion (2026). Caveat the bulls skip: the rate decelerated, 49x then 7x. It sizes the market. It does not prove durability.
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The price collapse is real. GPT-4-equivalent capability cost ~$20 per million tokens in late 2022. By 2026 it is ~$0.40, roughly 50x. DeepSeek V4 lists at $1.74 input, about a third of the proprietary list, on open weights. Capability is commoditizing.
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Capability is a deflating commodity. Consumption expands through the falling price. Revenue concentrates in the layer that meters the work, not the one that builds the model or sold the seat. The seat is being repriced. The token replaced it.
Show more
Where did the seat budget go? It migrated to metered software. Cursor ended 2025 near $1.2B ARR, hit ~$3B run-rate by April 2026. Harvey: $0 to ~$200M in 36 months. Agentforce: $800M ARR, +169%. The CFO swapped payroll and seats for one compute line.
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If cheap meant dying, volume would fall. It rose. Google: 9.7T tokens/month (2024) → 480T (2025) → 3.2 quadrillion (2026). Caveat the bulls skip: the rate decelerated, 49x then 7x. It sizes the market. It does not prove durability.
Show more
The price collapse is real. GPT-4-equivalent capability cost ~$20 per million tokens in late 2022. By 2026 it is ~$0.40, roughly 50x. DeepSeek V4 lists at $1.74 input, about a third of the proprietary list, on open weights. Capability is commoditizing.
Show more
Let the figures argue. Three numbers from the last 18 months: Price of mid-tier intelligence: down ~80% in a year. Volume consumed: up ~7x in a year. Seat-priced software: repriced hard across H1 2026. The denominator is changing. Short the denominator.
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A jury in Oakland is being asked to decide if OpenAI broke a charitable promise to its first big donor. $44M in. $852B out. Three claims at trial. Jury deliberations start Thursday May 14. A primer drawn entirely from the docket. @nytimes @reuters @CNBC @washingtonpost
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A jury in Oakland is being asked to decide if OpenAI broke a charitable promise to its first big donor. $44M in. $852B out. Three claims at trial. Jury deliberations start Thursday May 14. A primer drawn entirely from the docket. @nytimes @reuters @CNBC @washingtonpost
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A short summary of @festival_web3 last week in HK. 1. More ppl than expectation. There’s almost no much volume on chain, but still a lot of ppl attending the events, not just main event but also @BNBCHAIN one; 2. @ethereumfndn still trying hard to push the development of L1 and grow the dev eco; 3. Most VCs and projects are no longer in events or actively working. No new projects, devs and primary market is almost gone; 4. The 1% left builders and projects talking about agents, payments, trading and no more infra; 5. Many so called “active market makers” seeking deals with projects to help manipulate the tokens; 6. AI extracts money, devs, VCs, attentions, etc. almost everything from crypto. We can say it’s good for cleansing out mediocre, but looks like new talents don’t feel crypto as cool as 2020 to join. Really tough time for all builders and investors still left in crypto. Need innovations to make it cool again.
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