The AI bull case has been solidified with the release of OpenAI's Astra.
A frontier model leaping ahead of other models like Fable 5.1 is a good thing for the *entire* AI ecosystem because it forces the chasing pack to keep up or risk being left behind. Token prices dropping is one piece, but increased usefulness shifts the entire demand curve.
I think this shift is most pronounced at the enterprise level. When the average model becomes more useful, companies won't just simply use the same token volumes at lower prices. Instead, they'll find new reasons to use more tokens.
This keeps the spending flywheel spinning for the frontier labs. In the early-mid 2000s, we saw a similar story with enterprise software solutions proving signficant ROI. AI will be the same but on a much bigger scale as internal enterprise AI budgets increase as ROI gets proven.
In fact according to
@FundaAI's enterprise surveys, internal AI budgets are now slowly broadening into wider business units beyond just IT and engineering departments. That means there's significant headroom for incremental token demand which steepens as companies start tracking and proving AI ROI with time.
Worth tracking companies that display their growing AI spend in my opinion. They'll become the long-term winners in their respective sectors.