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Abstract of PCB Sector & Initiation & Updates 🔥 Initiating & Transferring PCB Coverage: •Initiating CO-TECH. (8358 TT / Buy / TP: NT$480): Share px -54% since June, Margin ramp-up in 4Q26, expansion of HVLP3/4, and px hikes. •Raise TP: EMC (2383 TT / Buy / TP: NT$6,538): Google share gains, product mix upgrading toward M7+/M8+. •Raise TP: Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK / Buy / TP: HK$60.8): E-glass and FR-4 price hike cycle, expansion of high-end copper foil capacity. •Raise TP: Zhen Ding Technology (4958 TT / Buy / TP: NT$729): Market share gains in VR200, leveraging MSAP, ABF supercycle. ☀️ AI Server PCBs: •Nvidia Vera Rubin: PCB content per GPU $750 (vs. $400 for GB200). •Google TPU v8t/v8i: PCB content $800–$1,000 (vs. ~$700 for v7). •TAM Expansion: AI server PCB TAM projected at $13B in 2026 and $29B in 2027. •Zhen Ding benefits from Nvidia platform gains + mSAP dominance in optical modules/CPO. •mSAP Shortage: 2027 capacity constraints due to 800G optical switch and yield limits ☀️ CCL Dynamics: FR-4 Prices doubled to ~RMB 300 since mid-2025; upcycle extends through end-2027/2028. ☀️ Upstream Supply Shortage: •E-Glass Gap: ~15% shortage; requires 3,000 new machines, but Toyota's annual output is only 2,000 units (fully booked till 2028). •HVLP4 Foil: Year-end 2026 capacity at ~1,200 tons/month with a 400+ ton shortage. #PCB# #ZDT# #NVDA# #msap# #ABF# #EMC#
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Abstracts of Addressing Recent Debates on LT Capex and NVDA Platform Content Away from Memories • Recent CSP Earnings Review on Capex: Amazon to $220bn, Google $195-205bn, Meta $130-145bn • U.S. CSP capex forecast at $0.8tn/$1.2tn / $1.4tn in 2026/2027/28 (+45% / +20% YoY in 27/28), supported by healthy balance sheets • Capex growth expected to moderate to +20% / +15% YoY in 2028/29 as CSPs prioritize returns & FCF & uncertainties over AI model competition • Top 5 debt issuance seen at $257bn / $419bn in 2026/27 (31-35% of capex), still manageable • Cumulative debt issuance could reach ~$421bn by 2028, yet remains well-supported • Balance sheets stay very healthy (ex-Oracle): net leverage only ~0.5x (EBITDA basis) by 2028/29 • Net debt-to-equity ratio projected at just 18% by 2029 despite heavy capex

• Reiterate our July 2’s report of Nvidia cutting memory: Vera CPU SOCAMM from 192GB → 96GB → selective SKUs to 64GB by 1Q27
• Rubin Ultra HBM stepped down from 384GB to 192GB/256GB (HBM4/4E); 8-Hi design finalized, yet 12-Hi remains on line up
• Competitors already on lower configs: AMD MI450 Custom and Google TPU Humufish already 8-Hi
• Scale-up expanding via NVL576 w NPO optics to offset reduced memory content
• Nvidia platform OE shipments estimated at 5.8m / 8.1m units in 2027/28
• Still positive on AI trends; prefer GPU / CPU / Optics, cautious on memory commodities
 Recommendations: 1) Nvidia GPU: NVDA (Buy), Hon Hai (2317 TT), SMCI (Buy) 2) CPU: INTC (Buy), AMD (Buy), ASE (3711 TT, ASX, Buy) 3) Optics NPO: LITE (Buy), MRVL (Buy), SMTC (Buy), TSEM (Buy), Bizlink (3665 TT Buy), Browave (3163 TT) #capex# #NVDA# #RUBIN# #Memory# #HBM#
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Abstracts should be short by definition. But here is shortest: Gardner, J. K. & Knopoff L. (1974) Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 64(5) 1363-1367.
Abstract IP is going mainstream. Congrats to our friends at @playgigaverse. Giga Noob just passed 1.5M subscribers on YouTube, averaging 5.8M views per video. One little noob, millions watching.
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Abstract IP is going mainstream. @bearish_af has generated over 12 BILLION GIF views, @playgigaverse's Giga Noob has almost 450M views, and @godthedogabs is about to hit 50M views. Great products attract users, but great IP keeps them coming back ✳️
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Abstract of AMD note TP increased to $640 (based on 45x 2027E EPS or 32x 2028E EPS), with EPS revised up by +2%/+11% for 2026E/2027E. Advancing AI & Customers: AMD is expected to unveil Anthropic as its third GW-level customer, likely exceeding Meta/OpenAI deal scales in 2027, alongside Microsoft's deployment of the Helios rack-scale solution announced on July 20. As such, we believe 2027 its GPU demand visibility is 40–50% above current CoWoS supply, suggesting room for upward revision. GPU Roadmap: AMD is narrowing the hardware gap with the MI450X and pulling ahead of Nvidia with the MI550X (featuring a 4-die package and larger HBM). Datacenter CPU & Venice: Venice's strong CPU cycle, driven by a robust supply chain build plan of ~5m in 2027 and higher server CPU TAM, is expected to lift datacenter CPU ASPs by 30–35% YoY in 2027. Near term likely a price hike in late-3Q26. Upcoming Earnings: The earnings call on Aug 4 is anticipated to be a non-event with 2Q/3Q revenue expected at $11.4bn/$12.2bn and 3Q margin moving higher. #AMD# #AI#
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Abstract of MRVL (Buy) Earnings Preview, QCOM (Hold) Initiation MRVL (Buy) Earnings Preview 🚀 •Maintain Buy & $280 TP •F2Q27E: Expect +12% QoQ revenue, ~59% non-GAAP GM (vs. Street 58.8%) •F3Q27E: +13% QoQ revenue (vs. consensus +11%), GM 58.9% (vs. 58.3%) •Likely raise to FY27 guidance; upside seen to FY28 revenue & FY29 custom ASIC target •FY27E/28E/FY29E EPS: $4.2 / $7.6 / $14 •FY29 ASIC revenue: $15bn+ (guidance $10bn+), powered by Google CXL/DPU, one ver of Trainium 4 & Maia 300 QCOM (Hold) 💤 •Initiated Hold: DC business partially priced in since Investor Day •Mgmt targets $5bn/$15bn DC revenue in FY27/FY29; we model $4.7bn/$8.8bn in FY27/28 •AI250 competitiveness vs. GPU limited by high LPDDR5 pricing & inferior scale-up •CPU ramp (2028) still far away •Custom Silicon can leverage its high wafer allocation •Handset remains a drag; Android recovery overly optimistic amid high wafer inventory & weak sell-through •Smartphone share pressure continues from competitors’ effort to gain OPPO/vivo Ultra models •FY26E/27E EPS: $10.7 / $11.3 → TP $203 (18x) #MRVL# #QCOM# #Semiconductors#
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Abstracts of TSMC, ASML Earnings Notes TSMC (TSM) D/G to Hold, Taking the High Road in AI Cycle * Earnings & Guide: While TSMC’s Q2 earnings were inline (margin slightly below bulls), the company raised its full-year rev and capex. * The key highlight was taking the high road in margin management (by not to be aggressive in pricing), geo-expansion (by further capex investment in Arizona) and backend flexibility (by supporting customers’ backend at EMIB). * As said in our preview note on July 7, TSMC’s capex acceleration began in 2025, 1.5–2 years after the AI cycle took off, implying that share loss or demand overflow to competitors; that said, to catch up in capex in 2026-2027; together with prudent pricing, TSMC could be one of the few AI semi companies that won’t see margin expansion in coming quarters. This will lead to lower valuation multiple. ASML Earnings, Guidance Raised * Q2: ASML delivered a strong beat, with Q2 revenue of €9.3 billion and a 54% gross margin, exceeding guidance. * Guidance Raised: The company raised its full-year 2026 revenue outlook to €43–45 billion (from the previous €36–40 billion range). * Growth Drivers: Robust demand from both logic and memory customers. * Capacity Expansion: ASML announced plans to increase capacity by ~30% annually for both its EUV and DUV immersion systems through 2027, with potential further expansion in 2028. Stay positive #AI# #ASML# #TSM# #TSMC#
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Abstract - Semtech (SMTC) Initiated Buy on 1.6T and NPO • Initiates with Buy, $180 PT (25x FY28E P/E). • Transitioning from an analog chip company to an AI interconnect beneficiary w portfolio spanning ACC, TIA, drivers, lasers and NPO analog solutions. • Guides FY27 AI revenue >$350M; we forecast $466M (FY27E) → $1.22B (FY28E), driven by 1.6T. • Google TPU expansion to be a key catalyst for CopperEdge ACC. • NPO adoption could be the next major growth leg beyond 2027 as DSP removal increases analog content. • Believes NVIDIA and leading CSPs are evaluating NPO deployments. • NPO market size : we forecast 38M NPO optical engines in 2028, suggesting a multi-billion-dollar TIA/driver TAM • Acquisition of HieFo strengthens its laser portfolio and expands optical content opportunities. #AI# #Semiconductors# #OpticalNetworking# #SMTC#
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