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Jeff Pu
@sssjeffpu
Tech Enthusiast. 20 years tech equity research + industry.
Joined April 2025
68 Following    37.4K Followers
Abstracts of UMC (2303 TT, UMC) Acceleration in PIC/TFLN(薄膜铌酸锂 Thin‑Film Lithium‑Niobate) 📈 Buy | TP lifted to NT$160 - PIC/TFLN upside unlocks a higher-margin cycle • High-margin PIC business acceleration mainly driven by:
– Hyperlight (could have made significant progress with Google)
– TeraHop (key customers: Nvidia, GOOG) • TFLN 8” Wafer shipment expectations:
– 20k wafers/month by 4Q27
– 40k wafers/month by 4Q28 • PIC economics far superior to corporate average with Gross margin >70%, ASP ~$2.5k per 8” wafer (vs Normal 8” ASP below $1k), Expected EPS contribution of NT$0.7 in 2027 and NT$1.5 in 2028 • That said, TFLN will help UMC shift its product mix toward higher-value AI segments (including optics) • Possibility remains open for UMC to extend its PIC wafer business into packaging over the mid/long term In addition to PIC/TFLN, • UTR expected to keep rising, driven by: AI (incl. optics), CIS / ISP
and DDIC (benefiting from Apple moving Mac from 8” to 55nm) • Although the market has less appetite for the price-hike theme, visibility has been extended to 2H27 • Intel collaboration: Management earlier reiterated the partnership remains on track Tape-out targeted for 2027 on Intel 12, and we now expect the Capacity to be more than one phase #UMC# #PIC# #SiPh# #TFLN# #NVDA# #CPO#
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