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HBM supply vs demand gab in Gigabits. What you must understand: -That -7% bit shortfall is really a -21% to -28% wafer shortfall for HBM4E. It eats 3x to 4x more wafers per bit due to TSV and very low stack yields. -The gap went from -1% to -7%. It's widening even as all 3 giants pour resources and wafer starts into HBM. That's a breakout. -2027 new supply is already sold out. The memory trio is ramping with discipline, and SK Hynix's chairman doesn't see balance returning even by 2030.
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HBM: keep >40% revenue share next year. FY27 blended ASP now +48% y/y (was +35%). 8Hi mix seen at 55–60% as key customers lean 8Hi over 12Hi on HBM4 / HBM4E. Undersupply through FY28. $SKHY
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#HBM# is now a defining technology of the #AI# era. But its story began long before the AI boom. One question is worth decoding: Who developed the world’s first HBM? Trace the origins of HBM and its evolution into a critical AI memory technology. #SKhynix# #HBM4E# #AIMemory#
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HBM was built for Artificial Intelligence. It's not where data sits. It's where AI thinks. Stupid analysts keep pricing it like a storage commodity cycle. You and I are the contrarians on the other side of that trade. Stay early. Stay right. $MU $SKHY $SNDK
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Macquarie: HBM TAM to reach $421.9 billion in 2028E, up from $56.4 billion in 2026E. $Mu $DRAM $EWY $SKHY
Citi: HBM Demand Outlook > Massive Market Growth: Total HBM demand is projected to surge exponentially, jumping from just 736 (1Gb eq.) in 2021 to a staggering 126,990 by 2028. > Nvidia Dominates Demand: Nvidia remains the primary driver of HBM consumption, expected to account for 40,939 out of the 126,990 total demand by 2028 (roughly 32%), down from ~40% in 2025. > Strong Cloud & Tech Player Adoption: Broadcom, Google, AMD, and AWS show sharp upward trajectories, with Broadcom experiencing massive scaling to reach 41,003 by 2028. > Rapid Technological Transitions: HBM4 12hi and HBM4e scaling heavily through 2027 and 2028. $MU $DRAM $SKHY $DISK $EWY
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The HBM market is expected to grow 25X in four years, from $4B in 2023 to $100B in 2027. Meanwhile, it’s hotly debated whether memory has topped or will continue to lead the market. This week, my free analysis tackles one of the highest-stakes questions in the AI trade. Link in bio. $MU $NVDA $AMD
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Goldman: HBM ASPs to increase 90-100% yoy in 2027
When HBM Becomes “Luxury Real Estate for Compute” How to Rebuild AI Memory Architecture
When HBM Becomes “Luxury Real Estate for Compute” How to Rebuild AI Memory Architecture