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$BTC OrderFlow 📊 Lot's of new shorts keep piling in at the lows! Buy low, sell high? F that.. let’s keep aggressively shorting BTC right into range low 👀 So far, those sellers are not really getting the reward! Let’s see how this plays out... 🍿
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$BTC OrderFlow 📊 Shorts keep showing their hand, only to get absorbed, trapped, and forced to cover again and again. Sellers are active, but they’re not in control. Every push lower gets absorbed, as they keep selling into the lows. The bounces we’re seeing are then driven by short covering - not buyers stepping in with real intent! So what now? Nothing! Either sellers get follow through and make new lows stick, or buyers need to step in with actual intent and prove they can take control.
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Kalshi is selling all of your orderflow to Mossad. The name ICOBeast can be found hundreds of times in the Epstein flight logs. I will be sharing my story on stream this week with the Guy who writes Threads and then, god willing, next Sunday on 60 minutes
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aggregator spoofing is funny because it works, but not in the intended way its actually a form of flow segregation. smart orderflow and aggregators won't route to you so you end up trading against people who don't understand prop amms
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Your transaction. Encrypted from submission to finality. No frontrunning. No orderflow leakage. No performance hit. Encrypted Mempool on Aptos, the full stack for markets and machines.
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$BTC 📈 LTF price action is choppy, but the HTF read is much cleaner. Here is exactly where I will look for new longs 👇 At the end of September, price broke above the range high with intent, then retested and rejected it (bullish). It then failed to reclaim the previous range value ~86,600 USD (no dClose above). Yesterday, we then got a decisive daily close back below the range high. Today, price tried, and failed (as it looks like, wait for the close), to reclaim it - very bearish look on the daily chart right now. Locally, this is starting to look like a failed breakout above "range high". If price moves lower, I’m watching two levels for pot. new longs: 🔸 $80K: Previous smaller range VAH and Golden Pocket confluence. I’ll be watching the reaction for OrderFlow confirmation: Ideally we see a fakout of the low around 80K, wick into the VAH + GP, see lots of new shorts getting absorbed, price then reclaims 80K and we got trapped shorts below - thats my long trigger. 🔸 $77K: If price loses the previous VAH, a rotation toward the previous VAL and weekly level comes into play. The overall range VAH is also here, making this a key support zone for bulls. Acceptance back into overall range value would put the range POC and VAL in focus ~ 64K USD! If the move takes time to develop, the current low aVWAP could add further confluence around the overall range VAH. $77K–$76K is a VERY key support zone on the HTF. If price retests it, I’ll watch the reaction closely for a potential long entry. If price loses the $77K - $76K support zone and the aVWAP, a move back down toward $66K - $62K comes into play to fill the inefficiencies below. That would be the dream entry for anyone who missed the low, so I don’t see it as the most likely scenario right now. My guess is FOMO buyers step in well before then and offer some support. We will see. Level by level: mark the zones, set alerts, and let price come to us. Watch the reaction, take the trade if a setup appears, or wait for the next zone. No predictions. Next, we need to watch whether today’s daily candle closes back above the range high, or confirms a failed reclaim after yesterday’s breakdown. Enjoy your weekend! And remember: Tomorrow marks the 1st anniversary of Crypto D-Day. Take a moment to remember our fallen soldiers we lost that day 🫡
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$BTC 📈 Earlier, price swept the poorly structured lows we’d been discussing and formed an SFP at the mini-range low. Sellers were absorbed and trapped, so I entered small and waited for confirmation: a reclaim of mrVAL with intent, as I explained in the open Discord. We got a small bounce, but buyers never showed real conviction. The move was mostly short covering, quickly faded back to the lows, and stopped me out. Sellers then followed through to the downside during the NY session. Price action and OrderFlow didn’t convince me to take another position at my zones of interest, and I’m not looking for a new position right now. Next, I’m watching for a sweep of the key low near $80K into the internal-range VAH. For a potential long, I’d want to see absorption, trapped shorts, and a reclaim of the key low. If it fails, irPOC and then irVAL are the next downside levels - thats a very important zone of support on the HTF. The other setup I’m watching is a decisive reclaim of the just lost mini-range VAL with intent, which could set up a rotation higher toward the untested mini range highs. I’m not looking for new shorts right now; I’ll keep watching for new long setups 🔎
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$BTC 📈 Price is trading within daily value. Here is what we need to watch for next... Price tested dVAL and we saw shorts stepping in, spot selling into the level, yet price was not able to auction lower as sellers were absorbed and trapped. We’re back at dPOC now. Nothing to do here - fair value. Wait for a test of a value extreme, then watch OrderFlow closely and see how price responds. To trade a break of value and join momentum, I need to see intent: a clean break above or below with OI increasing and spot confirming, followed by a retest and rejection. Otherwise failed breakout from value can trap traders and set up a move back toward dPOC and opposite side of the daily range. Yes... I can see spot trending lower... but this is having zero effect against the little perp buying for now. If we get a fakeout above daily range high, with spot making new lows, and OrderFlow confirming trapped longs into the failed breakout attempt, then I'm very interested in the short...
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GM ☕️ $BTC HTF bearish market structure is history... And that means for me probability wise there is a >50% chance that we will NOT make another overall low. So my job for the next few weeks clear: Should we get the retracement find high probability zones of pot. support, confirm with OrderFlow and try and catch a pot. higher low 🔬 For now I'm closely watching the low AVWAP and the GoldenPocket. For now I'm still missing the confluence.
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Why did Leopold turn to Clear Street as his new prime broker (after JPM dumped him)? Because Clear is the biggest provider of swaps to levered ETFs. When you need to force a squeeze and ramp vega, easiest way is to work with the fund that controls the entire orderflow.
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