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"AGI forecasters" and "AGI timelines" are mostly just cope for the fact that we already have AGI and it doesn't act like the instantly self-bootstrapping god-beings from 2000s sci-fi
Some updates on bottleneck timelines: - ABF substrates: 1 year / eg. Ajinomoto (2802) for ABF film, Ibiden, Unimicron, Nan Ya PCB, etc make the substrates - HDI Boards: Over 6 months / Victory Giant (300476), Zhen Ding (4958), Unimicron, Compeq (2313), Meiko (6787) - Multilayer boards: ~6 months / Victory Giant, WUS (002463), $TTMI, Gold Circuit Electronics (2368), - CCL: Over 6 months (severe shortages of materials) / Elite Material (2383), Shengyi (600183), TUC (6274), ITEQ (6213), Nan Ya Plastics (1303), Resonac (4004) Mitsui Kinzoku (5706) / HVLP copper foil. Nittobo / glass fiber/cloth - MLCCs, chip resistors, tantalum capacitors, aluminum electrolytic capacitors: 15-20 weeks to 1 year+ MLCC: Murata (6981), Samsung Electro-Mechanics, TDK (6762), Taiyo Yuden (6976), Yageo (2327), Walsin (2492) Chip Resistors: Yageo, Walsin, KOA (6999), Rohm (6963) and $VSH Tantalum capacitors: Kyocera/AVX, Yageo/KEMET, $VSH again Aluminum electrolytic capacitors: Nippon Chemi-Con (6997) Nichicon (6996) | Timelines sourced from Digitimes, did the honors of adding in related companies. But it's slightly more nuanced since MLCCs and others mix. in commodity types vs. AI DCs. Regardless, just some helpful mapping.
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control the plot Custom Timelines have landed
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📢 IMPORTANT UPDATE: Vault Redemption Timelines To align with Symbiotic’s epoch-based withdrawal and settlement schedule, Bedrock is adjusting the Vault Redemption Delay from 7 days to 14 days. This change ensures underlying assets complete the required epoch process for orderly redemptions, eliminating liquidity timing mismatches. 📌 Important Details: 🗓️ Effective Date: September 6, 2026 [Epoch #2#] ⏳ Requests submitted BEFORE Sept 6: Subject to the current 7-day delay. ⏳ Requests submitted ON/AFTER Sept 6: Subject to the updated 14-day delay.
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Discover how TPU 8t reduces training timelines from months to weeks, and how TPU 8i breaks the "memory wall" to power the low-latency inference required for next-gen AI agents to perceive, reason, and act →
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Aaron Donald has multiple return timelines despite Adam Schefter's latest report
i heard you like soccer and Custom Timelines, so i made you a Soccer Custom Timeline
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To follow up with the realtime timelines of good traders, you can use the free tool:
Funniest callout of the year from $VIAV on CPO timelines: "Well, there's been a lot of industry talk [about delays], like, 'Oh, because the yield is going to be slower.' That's all nonsense. CPO and all that thing is moving forward" They stated that Yes there's always issues, but the process is being improved and things are getting better. To follow up on that, the CEO stated: - Viavi has POs for CPO-testing activity - “We’re already getting [CPO revenue] this quarter, and probably in December it will start accelerating.” On a side note, they also stated, 1.6T is "ramping very quickly", should reach parity with 800g next year, and signaled longer tail for 800g demand. TLDR: Seeing CPO test revenues hit for $VIAV to $FORM around now. Nvidia also stated switch-side CPO for scale out and scale across has entered mass production earlier. As for scale up timelines, early production should be H2 2027 for some players, with other CPO players Ayar stating 2028 is the volume inflection period. Basically, all the timelines seem to be the same as before and revenue is starting to hit testing players first.
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