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Adam Livingston
@AdamBLiv
The Bitcoin Wizard | Author of The Great Harvest | @BitcoinForCorps | Advisor @saturn_credit | MSTR + MTPLF + ASST HODLER |
Joined January 2025
281 Following    87.1K Followers
“There’s no way Bitcoin can go to $250k in 2 years bro.” Really? Using Bitcoin’s current price of about $79,200 and its circulating supply of roughly 20.075 million BTC, Bitcoin’s market cap today is about $1.59 trillion. At $250,000/BTC, using that same circulating supply for a clean apples-to-apples comparison, Bitcoin would have a market cap of roughly $5.02 trillion. That means Bitcoin needs to add about $3.43 trillion in market cap from here. That’s a price gain of roughly 215.5%. Sounds insane? Gold recently went from roughly an $18.3 trillion market cap in early 2025 to around $39 trillion at its 2026 peak. Gold added roughly $20.7 TRILLION in market value. So Bitcoin going all the way from ~$79,200 to $250,000 would require absolute market-cap creation equal to only about 16.6% of what gold just added. Read that again. Bitcoin could more than TRIPLE from here to $250,000 and the entire increase in Bitcoin’s market cap would equal roughly ONE-SIXTH of the market value gold added during its recent explosion. And even at $250,000 Bitcoin, BTC would be worth only about $5.02 trillion, or roughly 12.9% of gold’s ~$39 trillion peak market cap. Gold would still be approximately 7.8 TIMES LARGER than Bitcoin. People hear “$250,000 Bitcoin” and imagine some mathematically impossible financial event. The math says something completely different. $250K BITCOIN ISN’T EVEN CLOSE TO REQUIRING GOLD-SIZED CAPITAL APPRECIATION. Bullish on Bitcoin. bitcoin:native
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