CLARITY Act cloture vote starts 2:15 PM ET today. It needs 60 votes to open debate. Odds of 2026 passage have whipsawed over the last 48 hours as both support and opposition from various parties landed in the same window. We had a round of optimism on Sunday night as Senate Republicans released what they called their final draft, and President Trump agreed to the tougher ethics package. Odds jumped to 35%. That optimism quickly dissipated as 18 attorney generals urged a no vote. Eight bank groups demanded tighter stablecoin-reward limits on Monday morning. Treasury Secretary Bessent and SEC Chair Atkins have publicly endorsed the bill, citing the importance of it in order to maintain supporting US tech leadership. Senate Democrats have sent a counter offer to the Republicans, just hours ahead of the vote. Odds have now dropped to 19%.