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DecodeMarkets | Morning Notes
October 5th, 2026
Brazil 🇧🇷 just gave the bears a nasty homework assignment: explain why Friday discount still makes sense.
Flávio leads. PL gained ground in Congress. October 25 still decides the presidency. Money, inconveniently for anyone waiting for complete certainty, has no obligation to wait
$EWZ is the front door
Inside: banks, oil + steelmaker with net cash.
If political change brings cheaper capital, this could become much bigger than an election bounce. Let’s find where improving expectations could turn into actual profits.