Explore our July/August issue, featuring Sheri Berman on how democracy can live up to its potential, Paul Scharre on the erosion of Washington’s military technological edge, Rose Gottemoeller on the coming crisis in strategic stability, and more.
In Afghanistan, the United States “might have seen a better outcome, or at least a shorter war, if officials had more seriously debated withdrawal earlier, pursued negotiations sooner, and, in some cases, recognized the bias instilled by a distaste for defeat,” writes Carter Malkasian.
The Trump administration should not “let China drive a wedge between Washington and Taipei,” write @RichardHaass and @DavidMSacks1. It is not too late to “undo the damage from Trump’s comments on Taiwan and his decision to pause arms sales.”
Trump “has tried to sell the new cease-fire as a victory,” writes Hussein Banai. “But Tehran has a strong claim that it won, too, and its story of victory is both simpler and better matched to the facts on the ground.”
“The United States and China need to treat Taiwan as a shared long-term challenge that requires sustained conflict management,” writes Zheng Wang. “If it is mishandled, it could turn competitive coexistence into great-power war.”
“A German-led reform effort could give the European Union the supranational character it needs to move toward strategic autonomy and act as a single player on the global stage,” argues @Maumol.
Read Anne Neuberger on how quantum technologies will upend national security—and how the United States and its allies can prepare for the next frontier:
“The most consequential victims of the current China shock are not workers in Detroit or Stuttgart, but future workers in places such as Addis Ababa, Dhaka, Lagos, Nairobi, Phnom Penh, Surat, and Tirupur,” argue @shoumitro_c and @arvindsubraman.
After 107 days of hostilities, the war in Iran has settled into a stalemate—the “least admired of diplomatic outcomes,” writes Hussein Banai. “Still, this result doesn’t need to be a defeat for the United States.”
“The AI boom will assuredly transform the U.S. economy in ways no economist can fully anticipate.” Read James Davidson and Matthew Slaughter on how to prepare for the coming AI shock:
.@patricia_m_kim examines the downsides of Beijing’s “China first” strategy—and argues that China’s experience offers a cautionary lesson for the United States.
“Operation Epic Fury failed as a total victory. But over the past three years, the United States has accumulated a series of gains that have largely reversed Iran’s regional successes over the prior 20 years,” writes James Jeffrey.
“Brexit’s bill has come due, and someone will have to pay it. The only question is whether Labour does so on terms that allow it to govern—or on terms that ensure it does not,” writes @m2matthijs.
“Policymakers who assume Americans will uncritically embrace AI, labor-market disruptions and all, will be in for a rude awakening,” write James Davidson and Matthew Slaughter.
On the latest episode of “The Foreign Affairs Interview,” @ianbremmer examines the forces shaping today’s world of weaponized power and systemic risk. Start listening here:
“No matter how well Europe rearms, it cannot adequately reproduce the United States’ military enablers—the systems that make up the backbone of modern warfare,” write @LuisSimn and Stephen Brooks.
For China, any military action against Taiwan “short of a full-scale invasion would be foolhardy,” argues Dennis Blair. “It would not deliver the Chinese Communist Party the political ends it seeks, and it would risk the party’s grip on power.”