“War is testing the resilience of the Iranian economy in ways that sanctions alone could not,” writes @yarbatman. “But even as the country’s economic situation is getting worse, Iran’s leadership remains able to resist the coercive effects of sanctions.”
“The West ignores Xi’s ideological messaging at its own peril.” Read @MrKRudd’s 2022 essay on the worldview that drives Xi Jinping and his ambitions for China:
The United States and China are “locked in a dynamic of strategic ambiguity marked by endless bouts of punitive ‘chokehold’ diplomacy, with each exploiting its control over critical supply chains to pressure the other,” writes Orville Schell.
“Some of the same technological advances that are increasing the risk of bioweapons make it possible for the United States and other countries to establish national systems to quickly detect known and unknown biological threats,” writes @spsaki.
“U.S. military leaders must build forces and concepts around the assumption that future wars are unlikely to be resolved quickly,” argues Nadia Schadlow.
To survive the Iran war—and any future ones—the Middle East “will need to draw up new ways to preserve its wealth, to pursue greater self-sufficiency, and to diversify—and even own—its security,” write @becca_wasser, @DEsfandiary, and @ZiadMDaoud.
“The central tragedy of ‘The Peloponnesian War’ is the story of growing Athenian arrogance and hubris and its fateful consequences,” writes Jonathan Kirshner. “Modern-day Athenians, trumpeting the virtue of strength, would do well to heed Thucydides’s warnings.”
“The U.S.-Israeli war that began in February 2026 was meant to sap Iran’s power, if not to eliminate its regime. Instead, it has given the Islamic Republic a new lease on life,” writes F. Gregory Gause III.
“Leaders who fail to confront their new reality are failing their countries,” writes @markhleonard. “It is time to acknowledge that the old order really has disappeared—and to plot a new approach to geopolitics.”
It is possible that neither the United States nor China will achieve true dominance in artificial intelligence—and that an asymmetric form of bipolarity will emerge instead, writes @ColinKahl.
“Outright defeat of Iran and the axis groups is likely out of reach, but limiting the threat they pose is still possible,” write @peterjsalisbury, @Wolf_Paes, and Henry Thompson.
“One of the unforeseen consequences of Ukraine’s transition to drone-centered warfare has been the expansion of civil society in new ways,” writes @ngumenyuk.
China’s initiatives in Latin America “attract relatively little attention,” writes @ncotemunoz. “Beijing can thus make investment after investment almost undetected until, suddenly, it has built much of a state’s critical security infrastructure.”
“For decades, the standard critique of the EU as an economic partner was that it was too slow” and too hampered by consensus, writes @jonasnahm. But these qualities are “an asset in a world shaped by volatility and executive authority.”