Brett Caughran(@FundamentEdge):Hard to know for sure, but this feels right to me. The alpha isn't in post-training the model; it's in the execution harness and skill layer orchestrating it. Hard part is the proprietary Evals and modularizing the Skill architecture to give the system incisive judgment and make it feel intuitive to use.

Brett Caughran

@FundamentEdge

Training Humans at Fundamental Edge Training Agents at Fundamental Research Labs

Joined September 2018

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Brett Caughran@FundamentEdge

2026.10.28 20:39

Hard to know for sure, but this feels right to me. The alpha isn't in post-training the model; it's in the execution harness and skill layer orchestrating it. Hard part is the proprietary Evals and modularizing the Skill architecture to give the system incisive judgment and make it feel intuitive to use.

Grant Stenger (hiring)@GrantStenger

2026.10.28 18:44

I unfortunately think superforecasting teams who are post training open weight models are going to get modelmogged by frontier labs that are obviously also working on forecasting benchmarks.