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President Trump on intervening to stop the baseball lockout: “I would certainly do it if I could. I mean I settled 8 wars”
40% chance the ‘27 season starts before April 1
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NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: Democrat Adam Hamilton has a 35% chance to win the Kansas Senate race
If Hamilton wins, this would be a 🟥➡️🟦 flip
Benjamin Netanyahu has a 27% chance to be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election
JUST IN: Republicans’ odds to win the Senate surge to 42% from 36% yesterday
JUST IN: Mary Peltola’s odds to win the Alaska Senate race dip to 72% from 77% earlier today
Major news networks issue joint statement on White House press ban
JUST IN: Kamala Harris’ odds to run for President in 2028 plummet to 56%
David Jolly (D) announces he won't debate Byron Donalds (R) in the Florida Governor race
TEXAS STATEWIDE ELECTION ODDS:
Senate:
🟦 James Talarico: 60% <- highest Democrat
🟥 Ken Paxton: 40%
Governor:
🟥 Greg Abbott: 78%
🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 22%
Railroad Commissioner:
🟦 Jon Rosenthal: 57%
🟥 Bo French: 43%
Lt. Governor:
🟥 Dan Patrick: 74%
🟦 Vikki Goodwin: 26%
Attorney General:
🟥 Mayes Middleton: 82% <- highest Rep.
🟦 Nathan Johnson: 18%
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NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: 90% chance Democrats takes the House this November
Kalshi American Power Index (KPOW): +1.9D
Control odds:
🟦 2026 Senate: Democrats 59% (all-time high)
🟦 2026 House: Democrats 89% (all-time high)
🟦 2028 Presidency: Democrats 59%
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Kalshi American Power Index (KPOW): +1.2D
Control odds:
🟦 2026 Senate: Democrats 54% (all-time high)
🟦 2026 House: Democrats 87% (all-time high)
🟦 2028 Presidency: Democrats 58%
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NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: 87% chance Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh
NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: James Talarico (D) has a 54% chance to defeat Ken Paxton (R) in the Texas Senate race
MONTHLY HIGH: Democrats now have a 54% chance to win the Senate
Trump: "If republicans win the House and Senate, I'll issue a $5,000 dividend to every adult in the US"
BREAKING: Senator John Fetterman (D) to speak in a video at the RNC tonight
His odds to leave the Democratic Party this year spike to 20%
TODAY: 8 weeks until the Midterm elections
What do you think will be the biggest surprise on election night?
What iconic debate moment will you never forget?
BREAKING: Google Maps changes the name of Lake Ontario to “Lake America” following President Trump’s executive order
