Kalshi Politics
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Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser tomorrow?
Odds:
🟦 James Talarico: 68%
🟦 Abdul El-Sayed: 32%
TODAY: Justin Pearson has a 98% chance to win the TN-09 Democratic primary
🚨JUST IN: James Talarico’s (D) odds to defeat Ken Paxton (R) in the Texas Senate race rise to 49%
🚨BREAKING: Haley Stevens hits her highest odds in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary market since Sept. 2025
39% chance she defeats Abdul El-Sayed
MICHIGAN SENATE WINNER (PERSON) ODDS:
🟦 Abdul El-Sayed: 57%
🟥 Mike Rogers: 27%
🟦 Haley Stevens: 16%
BREAKING: Spencer Pratt’s odds to advance in the LA mayor race rise to 84% as of 11:40 PM ET
KALSHI 99% PROJECTION: Chris Rabb wins the PA-03 Democratic Primary
(Projection made at 9:57 PM ET)
KALSHI 99% PROJECTION: Sarah Hawkins
Warren wins the GA Supreme Court election
KALSHI 99% PROJECTION: Burt Jones and Rick Jackson will face each other in the Georgia Republican Governor runoff on June 16
NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: There’s a 37% chance that Thomas Massie runs for President in 2028
KALSHI 99% PROJECTION: Keisha Lance Bottoms wins the Georgia Democratic Governor Primary
BREAKING: As of 7:33 PM ET, there’s a 53% chance that Ed Gallrein defeats Thomas Massie by 10-15%
BREAKING: Ed Gallrein has a record high 98.6% chance to win the KY-04 Republican primary as of 7:26 PM ET
JUST IN: As of 7:15 PM ET, Ed Gallrein has over a 98% chance to win the KY-04 Republican primary
JUST IN: As of 7:15 PM ET, Ed Gallrein has over a 98% chance to win the KY-04 Republican primary
BREAKING: Ed Gallrein has 97% chance to win the KY-04 Republican primary as of 7:10 PM ET
NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: Ed Gallrein has a 91.6% chance to defeat Thomas Massie (as of 7:06 PM ET)
NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: Ed Gallrein has a 91.6% chance to defeat Thomas Massie (as of 7:06 PM ET)
🗳️ KY-04 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ODDS:
🟥 Ed Gallrein: 87%
🟥 Thomas Massie: 13%
(As of 7:00 PM ET)
🗳️ KY-04 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ODDS:
🟥 Ed Gallrein: 87%
🟥 Thomas Massie: 13%
(As of 7:00 PM ET)
LIVE KY-04 ODDS (WITH LIVE CHAT)
(As of 6:51 PM ET)
🟥 Ed Gallrein: 86%
🟥 Thomas Massie: 14%
BREAKING KY-04 ODDS (As of 6:45 PM ET)
🟥 Ed Gallrein: 88%
🟥 Thomas Massie: 12%
UPDATE: As of 6:40 PM ET, Ed Gallrein leads Thomas Massie in the KY-04 Republican nominee odds, 86%-14%
