Lech Mazur(@LechMazur):We're living through enormous uncertainty about the future because of AI and nobody knows how it will develop. You'd think legal prediction markets would be especially valuable now to let us have some common ground and a starting point for arguments. Instead, Kalshi and Polymarket mostly offer trivial, uninteresting AI markets. Metaculus is still more useful. So disappointing.

Lech Mazur

@LechMazur

CEO, Advameg, Inc. founder Author: Author: 16 LLM benchmarks

Joined April 2009

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Lech Mazur@LechMazur

2026.09.29 00:03

We're living through enormous uncertainty about the future because of AI and nobody knows how it will develop. You'd think legal prediction markets would be especially valuable now to let us have some common ground and a starting point for arguments. Instead, Kalshi and Polymarket mostly offer trivial, uninteresting AI markets. Metaculus is still more useful. So disappointing.