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Linda Raschke
@LindaRaschke
Private Trader, Retired top performing hedge fund manager, featured in New Market Wizards. Recipient of 2024 IFTA (tech analysis) Lifetime Achievement Award.
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The alternation between market "states" is a challenge for many newer traders. This chart shows the extended run trend on the bunds, followed by a choppy daily consolidation. How does a trader know when a consolidation has ended and the breakout is for real? And how does one know that a prolonged consolidation might be unfolding?
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Check out all the NR7s in assorted markets for today. Remember, NR7/ID does not imply a breakout or trend day. Watch early volume. If light, it leads to a very choppy day - as in further consolidation after a big move. This can be called a "bracketing market" where the market does morning price discovery and often whipsaws in both directions.
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EC - A B C consolidation did partial fill only of the Friday markup. (courtesy of Kyle) @KylePotter9
And then the same old same old...MSFT: great example of case where no trade into gap area leads to higher for next two weeks. (I did not participate in this).
DVN: last but not least = different markets of interest this AM.
Hogs: The "other" white meat.....range expansion up after Buy Div.
Nice early impulse UP in the drillers...There is gap in play to the upside for HAL..
Wheat - nice holding its gains into the close. Needs upside BO above its 120-min downtrending channel next week.
Silver Buy: A B C down into pullback to hourly EMA.
Russell: Example of perfect structure - corrective A B C wave in uptrend on 240 minute chart. Frequency of occurrence is low on the best formations...I tee it up when they come along. (Move started in last nights evening session).
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Gotta love earnings season! TWLO will open up around previous swing high. This is a great example that shows oscillators are of little value when there are no oscillations or swings. Instead, the "sideways line" sets operations to "breakout mode".
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Peso going on Day 9 of extended run (Every market has gone up to 27 closes on one side of the 5 SMA at some time...). Trail stop, outlyer underway.
Indexes have a three bar triangle on the dailies. This means that if the LOW of the 240 minute chart is taken out it is a failure test, and better downside can unfold.
anyone paying attention to Palladium?
Cavefills or Pothole repairs everywhere...
There is nothing statistically significant about a 5 SMA. But it is a close approximation of a 240 EMA (again, statistically insignificant.) SP 5 SMA on daily still a ways away.
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Bonds on Sell Short day from my homework last night - I mark off these repair areas on each market. So many of them, but context important: In uptrend, downtrend, or trading range-big picture.
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