SITUATION EXPLAINED: Anthropic's IPO talk just dropped from $2T to as low as $1.1T, below OpenAI's $1.25T.
• Some investors floated $2T in early October, marked it down to $1.5T 3 weeks ago, and are now discussing $1.2T to $1.3T
• The Nasdaq 100 then fell 6.4% on Thursday, a record $2.3T single-day wipeout, and valuation questions picked up after Democrats swept Congress
• Anthropic's annualized revenue topped $80B at the end of October, with about $35B in revenue over the past 4 quarters
• Its filing shows about $895B in committed compute spending, roughly $70B of it due in the next 12 months
• Anthropic plans to raise up to $100B in the IPO, with formal marketing starting next week
• HSBC's Max Kettner says around $1T would be more comfortable, while Sycomore's David Rainville says $1.2T should attract investors
@theojaffee: "If you wanna sell me Anthropic at a discount, like I'll take it, you know."