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Qiuyang Mang
@MangQiuyang
PhD student at UC Berkeley @BerkeleySky. Former ICPC World Finalists; Opinions are my own
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Kimi K3.1 Pro ties GLM 5.3 on pass rate (12/48) and edges it out on continuous score (50.9 vs 48.9), making it the best open-source model on FrontierCS 2's open-ended CS research tasks 🌙
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FrontierCS 2 is our new benchmark for CS research & development. Each task is based on a paper: we delete the contribution from the released code, and ask agents to outdo the original method, as judged by the authors' chosen metrics. Agents don't have access to the paper or web.
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🧵 With unlimited compute, how fast can agents surpass humans? We introduce Elo-per-token analysis to profile agent performance curves across multiple open-ended tasks. • Agents initially scale faster than repeated sampling, but over long horizons converge toward their theoretical log-linear scaling curve. Humans, in contrast, improve superlinearly. • These curves also tell us how to spend test-time compute: the scaling inflection point gives a simple rule for splitting a fixed budget across agent sessions. Split a long run in a principled way, and you can get significant gains over a single run. • Fitting human-time and agent-token curves also gives us a fun way to translate AI compute into human time. Taking OpenAI’s ~130B-token Navier–Stokes run as input and extrapolating across the two curves gives an equivalent of ~41 years of work by a mathematician at 8 hours/day 😮.
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We integrated FrontierCS into Harbor and are releasing a preview long-horizon agent leaderboard (up to 835 turns, ~200K output tokens) with Kimi K2.6 @Kimi_Moonshot (score 46.9) and Claude Code Opus 4.7 @claudeai (43.0) 🚢. The goal: evaluate frontier coding agents in a setting where they iteratively write code, run experiments, read feedback, and improve in an extremely long loop. FrontierCS tasks are open-ended optimization problems. Each task has a continuous score. There is no single accepted output. Agents need to search for better solutions under a step/time/token budget. This makes FrontierCS a natural fit for agentic evaluation. Just plan, code, test, revise, fail, recover, and keep optimizing. Check out our blog: FrontierCS GitHub:
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