Merkle3s Weekly â Three Things You Need to Know
1ī¸âŖ Fed On Hold
The economy runs hot, inflation runs hotter â and the Fed chose to do nothing.
đ Oct 28 FOMC held rates at 3.75%â4.00% in a 10-2 vote; two dissents demanded a hike.
đ Sep PCE 3.6% YoY, core 3.1% â miles above the 2% target; Q3 GDP 3.4% beat; consumer confidence 91.7 smashed expectations.
đ Odds of a December hike jumped to ~75%; Friday's Oct jobs and Tuesday's Oct CPI will decide December's move.
2ī¸âŖ TradFi Onchain
Wall Street just dragged Hyperliquid perps inside the US compliance regime.
đ Oct 29 ICE (NYSE parent) took a strategic stake in Trade[XYZ], bringing Hyperliquid onchain perps to US markets â crypto, equities, commodities, FX, 24/7.
đ Licensed FCM + KYC, segregated clearing house for risk isolation; OKX JV handles distribution, pending CFTC approval.
đ $HYPE spiked 20% past $96 before settling at $84; Stan Druckenmiller's first-ever X post announced his investment.
3ī¸âŖ IPO Eve
Onchain pre-IPO perps are already betting on a company that hasn't even priced.
đ Nov 2 S-1/A with Q3 financials: $17B revenue (+1100% YoY), GS/MS underwriting, targeting a $1.5â2T valuation.
đ TradeXYZ listed xyz:ANT perps (10x leverage, opened $138, fell to $110); Hyperliquid HIP-3 also runs an ANTH synthetic market.
đ Roadshow could start as soon as next week; Polymarket gives the $1.5â1.75T range the highest odds.