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Aaron Dishner
@MooninPapa
Teaching. Trading. TBO. Crypto courses at The Better Traders. Official links below👇
467 Following    19.3K Followers
Crypto pumps won't stop until the market finally delivers the pullback I expect. BTC closed red, but it remains above TBO resistance with the slow line curling higher, so I still see the beginning of a strong bullish uptrend. I am taking partial profits into strength, keeping stablecoins available, and leaving bids near the fast line because a correction would reset the move rather than end it. My Bitcoin price analysis stays bullish, but BTC, ETH, and dominance all warn against chasing. Ethereum is above its cloud with a rising slow line, while bearish RSI divergence points to a pullback; stablecoin dominance also has bullish divergence, and Bitcoin dominance has reversed at its fast line. If both dominance charts rise together, I expect altcoins to absorb the worst of the downside before the broader uptrend resumes. I am watching DXY because its overbought strength is a risk to crypto, while COMP is my favorite early altcoin setup because its breakout cluster arrived before a major pump. UNI remains strongly bullish with a rising slow line, FET keeps rewarding a sell-the-rip and buy-the-dip plan, and Injective is coiling in a classical bull flag. These are the kinds of setups where I want exposure without abandoning profit-taking or lower bids. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Uptrend Builds Despite Red Close 03:46 Ethereum Bullish Trend Faces Pullback Risk 07:44 Stablecoin Dominance Signals Pullback Risk 11:16 OTHERS Dominance Tests Major Resistance 14:02 OTHERS Market Cap Confirms Bullish Breakout 20:02 DXY Strength Raises Crypto Risk 22:11 S&P Futures Face Local Reversal Risk 31:13 TAO Resistance Demands Partial Profits 33:37 Altcoin COMP Breakout Signals Next Move 43:34 Altcoin Injective Bull Flag Signals Upside 47:22 ENA Bullish Trend Targets Resistance 51:13 RXRX Resistance Demands Partial Profits 53:53 PEAQ Breakout Confirms Bullish Trend 56:26 ON Semiconductor Divergence Signals Bounce
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Bitcoin pumped 6.7% while crypto Twitter argued over apologies and bull traps. I'm watching the confirmed daily TBO breakout above resistance, not the drama. Bearish RSI divergence warns of a pullback, but it doesn't force an immediate crash. My approach is to take profit at planned levels and prepare for dips, rather than fight the rally with unprotected shorts. My Bitcoin price analysis still has a caution: the slow line is only starting to curl up, so the macro trend lacks the strength of earlier rallies. Ethereum confirmed its third TBO breakout, while stablecoin dominance reached historical support after three breakdowns. A bounce there could pressure crypto. I still see OTHERS dominance above its cloud and resistance despite Bitcoin attracting capital; a pullback doesn't automatically end the altcoin rally. I'm watching TAO after its 22% pump toward historical resistance and AAVE after another breakout, with its next Fibonacci target at 174.53. RUNE's earlier predictive wick puts 63 cents on my radar, while Walrus closed above newly formed resistance. I also took profit on STRK's pump rather than ignore its reversal warning. Strong momentum and short-term risk can coexist; none of these setups guarantees another leg higher. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Breakout Confirms Strength After a 6.7% Pump 03:14 Bitcoin Pullbacks Warn of Deeper Downside 06:49 Bitcoin Macro Trend and RSI Divergence Raise Caution 09:42 Bitcoin Stop-Loss Hunting Alerts Signal Leverage Risk 13:30 Ethereum Breakout and Stablecoin Support Frame Pullback Risk 16:18 Bitcoin Dominance Rotation and OTHERS Support 18:28 Small-Cap Dominance Tests Pivot High Resistance 21:20 Total Market Cap Momentum Above the Weekly Cloud 24:20 S&P Futures Strength and VIX Frame Market Risk 27:55 TBO Close Long Signals an Exit, Not a New Entry 34:47 Dogecoin Breakouts Raise Short-Term Risk 38:06 RUNE Predictive Wick Defines a Bullish Target 42:29 Walrus Breaks Resistance as STRK Faces Reversal Risk 47:30 SUI Momentum Builds Ahead of Resistance 49:45 Zcash and Stock Picks Face Resistance Tests 53:34 EPIC Faces Resistance After Its Rally
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OTHERS/BTC just broke long-term overhead resistance, and that is the crypto chart that stopped me in my tracks today. I’m seeing altcoins gain strength against Bitcoin while OTHERS.D approaches the resistance zone near 9%. My altcoin market outlook is bullish, but the closer dominance gets to that overhead line, the more seriously I’m taking profit protection. A strong rally is not a reason to abandon the plan. Bitcoin is holding above TBO resistance at 80,433, but my Bitcoin price analysis still has one important condition: daily RSI needs to close above 74.13 to overcome its previous high. Otherwise, another pullback is possible. Ethereum has confirmed a second TBO breakout while testing price resistance, and falling stablecoin and Bitcoin dominance are supporting the rotation into alts. Bearish divergence is a warning to watch, not proof that the rally is over. BNB is working on a second TBO breakout with bearish RSI divergence, STRK pumped 52% on Friday before approaching resistance at 0.0525, and AVAX confirmed a breakout after a powerful weekend move. I’m watching those bullish setups without ignoring how extended they’ve become. Harmony’s huge rally makes the same point: take profit according to predetermined targets and amounts, rather than letting excitement or anxiety rewrite the plan. I’ve sold too much too early myself, and that is the mistake I want to help you avoid. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Holds Resistance as RSI Tests Momentum 04:15 Ethereum Breakout Faces Price Resistance 06:51 Stablecoin and Bitcoin Dominance Weakness Supports Altcoins 09:14 Crypto Market Dominance Breakouts Confirm Bullish Strength 11:43 OTHERS.D Approaches Long-Term Resistance Toward 9% 15:33 Altcoin Market Momentum Nears the Heating-Up Target 21:19 OTHERS/BTC Breaks Long-Term Overhead Resistance 23:21 DXY Tests Resistance as S&P Futures Turn Bullish 30:00 BNB Breakout Faces Bearish Divergence Warnings 33:04 STRK Rally Approaches TBO Resistance 35:50 Altcoins Clear TBO Resistance as Bullish Strength Expands 38:48 NEAR Approaches Resistance After a Breakout Cluster 42:46 Club Picks Test Resistance as Bullish Setups Expand 48:30 YouTube Picks Rally as Harmony Tests Profit Discipline
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I think this crypto rally is still just getting started. OTHERS market cap gained 6.54% on Friday and is testing historical resistance at 229.23 billion. Weekly volume and bullish reversal signals support my altcoin outlook, but holding above that resistance remains the next test. Bearish divergence warns of weakening momentum; it does not mean the market has to dump immediately or that I should sell everything. Bitcoin closed Friday up 5.85% and above TBO resistance at 80,443, while Ethereum gained 6.74%. I see those closes as bullish confirmation, with Ethereum still facing its next support-fan line overhead. Stablecoin dominance printed another breakdown, while OTHERS dominance approached historical resistance at 8.36%. I’m watching for pullbacks within the larger uptrend rather than assuming every overbought reading ends the rally. I’m separating continuation setups from exhaustion pumps. Solana’s resistance break looks constructive, BNB completed a TBO springboard bounce, and NEAR’s extended rally into overhead resistance deserves caution. DXY’s rejection near 100 supports my risk-on view, while VIX support at 13.35 could mark a short-term market top. My approach is to build positions gradually on pullbacks, take some profits into strength, and let the chart timeframe guide the trade. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin and Ethereum Confirm Bullish Resistance Breaks 02:43 Stablecoin Dominance Breakdown Confirms Bearish Pressure 06:04 OTHERS Market Cap Tests Historical Resistance 09:12 Crypto Market Resistance and the CLARITY Act Debate 11:26 DXY Rejection Supports the Risk-On Outlook 14:36 S&P Futures Strength and VIX Support to Watch 21:37 Solana and NEAR: Continuation Versus Exhaustion 24:17 Aerodrome and PYTH Breakouts Raise Altcoin Momentum 27:14 BNB Bounce and Zcash Resistance Define Profit-Taking Risk 29:35 MYX Surge and Club Picks at Resistance 31:51 YouTube Picks Face Resistance and Reversal Tests 34:10 USELESS Weekly Strength and Resistance Target
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OTHERS dominance delivered the bullish confirmation I was waiting for: a 3.74% rise and a close at 8.21%, above TBO resistance at 7.96%. Falling Bitcoin and stablecoin dominance are supporting rotation into smaller altcoins even while Bitcoin looks shaky. I’m watching 8.36% as the next resistance and the area around 9% as a place to consider taking some profit. That is not a guaranteed ceiling, but a break above the longer-term resistance would be a much bigger development than I currently expect. My Bitcoin price analysis still leaves room for a dip toward 72K or lower while BTC remains inside the cloud and below the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 76,706. Ethereum has reclaimed the cloud, but weak volume keeps me cautious while falling Bitcoin dominance supports rotation elsewhere. I still see a buy-the-dip market rather than a reason to chase every green candle: OTHERS market cap has cleared TBO resistance, with roughly 229 billion the next level I’m watching. A rejection in DXY could also support risk assets, while USDJPY still needs to fall below 152. NEAR’s late TBO breakout after a 20% daily jump is a warning about chasing, not a reason to forget the trading plan. Uniswap’s 16% move through resistance is the confirmation I want from Hyperliquid, which still needs to clear its own TBO resistance. BNB’s bounce from the fast line keeps TBO resistance in focus, and I can take partial profits without closing the whole position. TEL is a different setup: oversold at support, with a potential bounce toward the fast line rather than an established bullish trend. I’m separating those opportunities from exhaustion moves and taking profits in portions instead of assuming every altcoin can keep running indefinitely. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Consolidation Leaves Downside Risk 03:29 OTHERS Dominance Confirms the Bullish Break 06:35 OTHERS Against Bitcoin Shows Rotation Potential 09:16 DXY Resistance Could Support Risk Assets 12:21 S&P Futures Bounce While Volatility Falls 15:10 Gold and Silver Bounce as Commodities Recover 22:31 NEAR Breakout Raises the Risk of Chasing 25:08 Uniswap Clears Resistance but Trading Plans Still Matter 27:51 TEL Tests Oversold Support for a Potential Bounce 31:38 Club Picks: New Listings and Exhaustion Risk 34:45 YouTube Picks: CROSS Exhaustion Raises Chasing Risk 38:21 SoundHound Tests Support With Bullish Divergence
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Bitcoin is the lead market signal I’m watching while BTC tests its current structure, nearby support, and the levels that would confirm either continuation or a deeper reset. I’m focused on price, momentum, and confirmation instead of reacting to one isolated move. I’m using Ethereum and the broader altcoin market for context through ETH support, dominance, rotation, and watchlist momentum. I’m treating each setup as a conditional scenario rather than a complete trade plan. I’m also tracking DXY, USDJPY, EURUSD, S&P Futures, Gold, Curve across the macro, crypto, Club, and YouTube watchlists. I’m keeping every idea tied to the support, resistance, momentum, and confirmation evidence in the charts. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Price Structure Awaits Confirmation 04:02 Bitcoin Support Levels Define the Risk Scenario 07:19 Bitcoin Dominance Bearish Consolidation Raises Downside Risk 11:40 USDJPY Divergence Builds Against Price Momentum 16:06 NASDAQ Overbought Conditions Raise Exhaustion Risk 21:45 ZRO Price Structure Awaits Confirmation 25:06 Community Picks Bullish Consolidation Awaits Confirmation 30:18 UNI Support Levels Define the Risk Scenario 35:42 Solana Support and Seller Pressure 41:36 FET Support Levels Define the Risk Scenario 44:36 YouTube Picks and Market Risk Signals
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