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Overly Trev
@OverlyTrev
I make Content and give opinions on Tesla, FSD, SpaceX, and more. Just a guy who loves Tech and wants to learn how it could shape our future!
Joined December 2011
863 Following    6.4K Followers
Gary’s going to be confused by the end of 2026 when there are around 1,000 Robotaxis in the Tesla fleet. He’s going to be extremely confused next year when there are thousands more and likely take the lead for AV’s. Tesla isn’t slowing down robotaxi they’re ramping faster than any other AV operator has ever ramped since its inception. It only seems slow because they’re at the beginning of the exponential growth curve.
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I’ve argued for months there is some fundamental reason TSLA’s planned unsupervised autonomy rollout has slowed from addressing half the U.S. population by end of 2025, to doubling fleet size every month (articulated after 1Q), to its current planned growth rate of +10%/week, as articulated by @aelluswamy on the 2Q earnings call. While we all understand the need for $TSLA to go slow given the damage even one headline would cause if a Tesla operated by FSD hit someone, $TSLA stock continues to underperform because investors are losing faith that FSD will ever be able to scale from its current roster of 90-100 unsupervised autonomous vehicles without safety monitors. Meanwhile, $GOOG’s Waymo continues to operate 4,000 unsupervised autonomous vehicles without safety monitors and complete 500K unsupervised autonomous rides per week.
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