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The Market Runup
@TheMarketRunup
The premium @StrataMedia_ finance podcast hosted by @theblondebroker, delivering sharp insights on macro, markets and crypto. On X, Apple, Spotify & Youtube.
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Are AI companies overvalued? Max McKendry (@CryptoChem0000) from @BoltLiquidity explains why the cost of AI compute may not justify current valuations.
AI spending concerns drag tech stocks lower as Treasury yields fall below 5%, signaling a shift in investor risk appetite and capital allocation.
.@matthewsniderj, author of Warren Buffett in a Web3 World, argues we've become spoiled by years of near-zero interest rates. His view: 7% to 8% rates may be closer to the historical norm than many investors expect. Previous generations faced double-digit mortgage rates, but savings accounts paid much more, too. Could investors need to reset their expectations?
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.@matthewsniderj, author of Warren Buffett in a Web3 World, sees liquidity and trading access as major potential benefits of tokenized equities. Traditional US markets close at 4 p.m. and pause for weekends and holidays. But market-moving events don't follow that schedule. Could tokenized equities make it easier to respond when markets are closed?
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.@matthewsniderj, author of Warren Buffett in a Web3 World, highlights a potential weakness in the stock market: concentration. He cites an infographic suggesting just 15% of the S&P 500 was in a bull market, versus 85% in a bear market. If only a handful of stocks are carrying the rally, how strong is it really?
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“You don't have to make it back the way you lost it.” @matthewsniderj, author of Warren Buffett in a Web3 World, warns against revenge trading after a loss. Take a beat. Reassess the market. Let opportunities come to you. And don't underestimate the value of having cash ready when they do.
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Want to launch an investment fund? @matthewsniderj, author of Warren Buffett in a Web3 World, estimates you'll need $8M to $10M in AUM to support the operation. Legal setup: ~$30K. Audit: ~$30K. Administration: ~$20K. Those costs add up before you even get to the investing.
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Buying back shares below the value of the Litecoin behind them monetizes the discount, and it leaves each remaining shareholder with a bigger slice of the treasury. @jay_lits in conversation with @TheMarketRunup
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Will more agentic trading mean less alpha? I think so...details below👇 in my discussion with @TheMarketRunup
.@matthewsniderj, author of Warren Buffett in a Web3 World, sees two things worth watching in the AI boom: models becoming commodities and tech companies borrowing heavily while buying from one another. His question: what happens when the music stops and that circular financing breaks?
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Mike Schiemer of @DividendVisions expects the ETF industry to become more crowded over the next 5 to 10 years. More funds could mean more competition, acquisitions, and closures. But he also sees that competition driving better products, marketing, and transparency. Not every provider will survive.
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Elevated yields, tighter liquidity, and shifting capital flows are reshaping market positioning as tokenized equities and evolving fund structures challenge traditional capital markets.
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Over 90% of the financial system onchain within the next decade? @SethGinns, CIO of Franklin Crypto explains how the convergence of AI, tokenization, and digital wallets could get us there. @TheMarketRunup x @theblondebroker
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Institutional investors may need to prioritize client constraints and fixed income. Younger retail investors may be chasing higher-upside opportunities. Mike Schiemer of @DividendVisions explains the difference: big tech, nuclear, space, bitcoin, and Ethereum can offer more growth potential, but also more risk.
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The US economy looks very different depending on how much wealth you already have. Mike Schiemer of @DividendVisions points to inflation, national debt, rising living costs, and housing affordability as major concerns, especially for younger generations trying to build financial stability.
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Mike Schiemer of @DividendVisions questions the logic of spending $800 to $1,300 a month on a vehicle just to look successful. If half your income goes toward car payments, the image of financial success may be hiding a much weaker financial position.
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AI isn’t just changing how financial professionals work. It’s changing how many people are needed to do the work. @brianjesposito of DiamondLake shares an example where 30 people entered a program expecting jobs, but only one was ultimately hired after technology reduced the need for the other roles.
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Tokenization doesn’t fix a bad asset. @brianjesposito of DiamondLake argues that some of the criticism around tokenization comes from putting poor-quality assets onchain in the first place. The technology can change how an asset is accessed or managed, but the underlying asset still needs to be good.
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NEW EPISODE OF THE MARKET RUNUP IS LIVE🎙️ What happens when real-world assets move onchain and what actually makes an asset worth tokenizing? This week on The Market Runup, I sat down with @brianjesposito of DiamondLake to talk about tokenized real-world assets, commercial real estate, AI, and how investors may need to think differently as technology reshapes the economy. We covered: → Why the underlying asset has to come before liquidity or speculation → How revenue sharing could change tokenized real-world assets → Who actually buys tokenized real estate → Why Brian thinks parts of the tokenization market are overhyped → What AI-driven job displacement could mean for the economy → Whether investors can still rely on traditional market signals TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Markets, Risk and Investing Differently 05:23 AI, Debt and Economic Pressure 07:18 What Happens When AI Replaces Jobs? 16:58 When Geopolitical Risk Hits the Economy 22:05 Layoffs and the Modern Workforce 29:41 Building Revenue Into Tokenized Assets 34:42 Who Buys Tokenized Real-World Assets?
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Where does a 5% 10-year Treasury yield become a real problem for stocks? Evan, founder of @StockMKTNewz, says he doesn’t think we’re close to that point. His bigger concern is runaway inflation, particularly as real wages struggle to keep up.
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