We have seen a structural power shift, yes.
I fully agree that the only way to lower inflation now is to lower energy (and other commodity) prices … which demands winning physical control of them, and often the hard way.
The recent joke is that rates strategists have had to become oil strategists… and I add, ‘who have to become military strategists.’
Central banks are not so central anymore…
If Warsh is going to demonstrate a willingness to raise rates into an oil supply shock, do not be surprised when Iran makes oil-related infrastructure go *boom* in the lead-up to every Fed meeting from here on out.