ODD LOTS LIVE, NYC, 12/9
Get your tickets NOW to our final show of the year
@tracyalloway and I have some unambiguously amazing guests lined up, and you WILL feel dumb for not having gotten a ticket when they were still available.
THE HUGE WIN FOR PREDICTION MARKETS
My only take from last night. Both in the runup to the vote and on election night, the prediction markets did exactly what they were supposed to do. A big confident forecast in the runup, and incredibly timely conveying of data as it dropped.
It’s sad. There used to be good replies and back and forth interactions on here. There are probably a few factors that drove everyone to QTing instead. But one of them is the explosion of AI reply bots, seriously degrading the status of replies. A kind of Gresham’s Law at play.
Unfortunately I didn’t get a chance to speak at my local community board meeting.
Fortunately the folks who did speak out in saving the exercise bars at Tompkins Square were all excellent and compelling.
Here’s what I would have said had I gotten the chance.
in this case I suspect doing things in person will become, far and away the easiest way to do anything. taking the example of restaurant reservations which tech people believe is society’s biggest problem—going to a restaurant during off hours and talking to the host stand works!
@TheStalwart i’ve recently decided to lean into it as hard as i can. i now have strong opinions about the cheesecake factory, monkey bars, pet squirrels, harry potter fan fiction, etc. it’s been pretty fun
This is quite the story. Flavio Bolsonaro may have put his name on a decoy flight manifest from Brazil to the US, while in reality he was slipping into Argentina, from where he may now be en route to the US
As @tracyalloway writes in today's Odd Lots newsletter... The logical endpoint is my agent battles some company’s algorithm until they reach the same equilibrium we would reached before AI, except we both spent a lot on tokens and the whole thing is value destroying.