Breaking: 100% chance Donald Trump is getting a backhand financial deal here and will somehow make million as you try to afford groceries and your credit card is declined.
BREAKING: 65% chance Tesla and SpaceX merge within the next year — an all-time high.
Trump killed bipartisan Russia sanctions two days before they hit. Even Republicans call it reckless. Meanwhile, the president made 3,642 stock trades in 3 months, no blind trust, and bought big the day before his tariff pause. Who does he work for? Check his portfolio.
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Donald Trump has disclosed more than 9,200 stock trades in the first eight months of 2026.
Meta. Oracle. Microsoft. SpaceX bonds. Alphabet. ConocoPhillips.
Every one is public. Almost nobody reads them.
When Oracle jumps 11% or Alphabet drops 10%, we check what the President's accounts did first.
Follow along.
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Q1 2026: Trump's accounts bought $1 million to $5 million each of Nvidia, Microsoft, Broadcom, Amazon and Apple.
The S&P 500 fell more than 8% after the Iran war started in March. His accounts bought the dip.
By May, reports had him up 20% or more on almost every name.
Lucky managers.
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Trump Organization says: his holdings are in "fully discretionary accounts" run by independent firms.
White House says: no conflicts of interest.
Trump says: "They invest my money, and I don't talk to them."
The record: He told Americans to buy a Dell three times this year. His accounts sold Dell in August. He gave Michael Dell a medal in October.
They don't need to talk.
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I can almost guarantee that the Trump Crime Family is short bonds. If the Fed hikes rates rise and bond values collapse.
BREAKING: Odds Fed "hikes" rates this year surges ahead of FOMC meeting today
84% chance.
How to track Trump's trades yourself:
1. He files OGE Form 278-T reports with the Office of Government Ethics.
2. Each trade is listed as a range, from $1,001 to $15,000 up to $5 million to $25 million.
3. His August trades, all 517, were made public October 8.
4. Look up the price on the trade date. Compare it to today.
That's the whole system. We do it every time a filing drops.
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October 8: Trump's ethics filing shows August trades in Nvidia, Tesla, SpaceX, Alphabet, AMD, Dell and Microsoft.
Same day: Trump hands out national medals to Elon Musk, Sergey Brin, Jensen Huang, Lisa Su, Michael Dell and Satya Nadella.
Seven companies traded. Six CEOs and founders honored.
The Trump Organization says neither Trump, his family, nor the company plays any role in selecting investments.
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And now Trump is repaying it back by starting Middle East Wars. Disgusting
January 6: Trump's accounts buy $500,000 to $1 million of Nvidia and $50,000 to $100,000 of AMD.
January 13: His Commerce Department loosens the rules on selling AI chips to China.
January 23: AMD is up 28%.
Seventeen days, start to finish.
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You're telling me the President owns up to $23.1 million of Chevron
AND up to $18.4 million of Exxon
AND gas is up 40% in a year
AND his trades show up weeks after he makes them
AND the House voted to ban itself from trading stocks, but the bill doesn't cover him
And we're the ones who get banned for posting it.
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Congress voted to ban its own members from buying individual stocks.
Should the same ban apply to the President?
Yes or no.
Trump's oil and gas stocks are now worth $22.5 million to $81.6 million, according to a report from Democrats on the Joint Economic Committee.
At the end of 2025 they were worth $12.6 million to $46 million.
Gas was $2.87 before the war. It's $4.29 now.
The White House says there are no conflicts of interest.
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The White House says Trump's portfolio is run by independent managers replicating indexes like the Schwab 1000.
Index funds rebalance. 517 trades in one month is a lot of rebalancing.
On August 10 Trump's portfolio bought Strategy $MSTR and sold Coinbase $COIN.
Strategy is up 54% since.
A president whose administration sets crypto policy is trading crypto stocks, and Washington has mostly stopped asking about it.
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Should a sitting President be allowed to own and trade individual stocks?
Yes or no.
The same day Trump was set to give Jensen Huang the National Medal of Science, his disclosure showed up to $1.6 million in Nvidia stock purchases.
His administration is also weighing export rules that could move Nvidia's stock.
The White House says there are no conflicts of interest.
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Trump's own disclosure shows 517 stock trades in August alone.
The biggest one: a Meta purchase worth $5 million to $25 million on August 21.
Meta is up about 31% since.
The White House says outside managers make every decision. Must be nice to have managers that good.
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You just know Donald Trump is going to be buying stocks in size here.
Tax-loss selling is starting early this year. Earlier than I've seen in years.
Millions of investors are dumping stocks right now for one reason: taxes.
Not earnings. Not guidance. Not fundamentals.
That forced selling is pushing good companies below what they're actually worth.
Here's the mistake almost everyone makes when hunting for these bargains:
They screen for the biggest losers of the year.
Wrong number.
Someone who bought in 2019 might still be sitting on a gain. They have nothing to harvest. They're not selling.
The number that matters is how far a stock trades below this year's average purchase price, its year-to-date VWAP.
That tells you how many holders are underwater right now, and how much selling pressure is still coming.
Big gap below YTD VWAP = lots of trapped holders = more forced selling = bigger dislocation.
I built a screener to find exactly these setups.
Over the next few weeks I'll be sharing the best ideas it surfaces.
Follow along.
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TRUMP JUST ORDERED A FORMAL GOVERNMENT INQUISITION AGAINST A SITTING FEDERAL RESERVE GOVERNOR
October 7th. Trump signs a presidential action literally titled "Establishment of a Committee of Inquiry to Investigate Allegations of False Statements by Lisa DeNell Cook"
Read that title again. A president ordering an official committee to go dig through the private conduct of a Federal Reserve governor who won't bend to his demands
The Fed is supposed to be the one institution insulated from a president's temper tantrums about interest rates
Trump doesn't want insulation. Trump wants a Fed that does what Donald Trump wants, when Donald Trump wants it, or gets investigated into submission
Lisa Cook didn't break a law. Lisa Cook didn't commit fraud. Lisa Cook is a Black woman on the Fed board who hasn't rolled over for Trump's rate-cut demands
So now she gets her own personal inquisition, signed by the President, aimed directly at her
This isn't oversight. This is intimidation with a presidential seal stamped on it
Every Fed official watching this knows the message. Cross Trump and you don't get a policy disagreement, you get a federal investigation with your name in the title
This is the same man who pardoned a crypto felon tied to his own family's business in the same stretch of weeks
The same man whose family allegedly pocketed close to three billion dollars while SNAP benefits got slashed for people who actually need groceries
Favors for loyalists. Inquisitions for anyone who says no. That is the entire operating system of this administration
A independent central bank is now a political target with Donald Trump's signature on the order to come after it
They are not going to stop until every institution in this country answers to one man
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