Our complete forecast, which incorporated Kalshi order books and expert ratings, slightly outperformed our legacy forecast. Final Kalshi markets were more accurate than any individual model in races.
Widespread precipitation is forecast for Election Day, with the heaviest activity centered over the Ozarks and rain extending across portions of the Great Plains, Midwest, and Texas.
Pennsylvania State House District 12 Special Election
23 of 27 Precincts Reported
đ´ Scott Timko â 6,965 (50.1%)
đĩ Brandon Dukes â 6,921 (49.7%)
Trump won this district by 18 points in 2024.