If you had to forecast the policy direction of a country you'd never studied before, how would you do it? 🤔 Ask ChatGPT or another AI tool? It might give you a confident analysis — but with no accuracy record and no way to verify it. Commission a report from a consulting firm? It could take months to get, and no one will ever go back and check how accurate it was. Yarrow took a methodology built on data from a country we're not revealing yet and applied it directly to Malaysia, without any country-specific tuning: 🇲🇾 Brier 0.071 · 14 out of 15 correct · z = +8.8 Five Malaysian reform episodes — fuel-price shocks, the introduction of GST, and diesel subsidy retargeting. Every CPI outcome was verified against the official index from Malaysia's Department of Statistics. ✅ ☘️ This is what Yarrow is trying to build: A methodology that works without tuning is a methodology you can trust when analyzing data at the national level in the next country too.