CLARITY is stalled exactly where the arithmetic puts it, and attention was never the problem. 5 of 8 steps are done: House passed it 294-134, Senate Banking advanced it 15-9, calendar-eligible since June 1. The last three (60 votes in Senate, House passage, POTUS signature) are the hard part, with no cloture motion filed and about three usable Senate weeks before the August recess. Three disputes are doing the blocking: ethics/insider-trading, Section 604 developer liability, stablecoin yield. And unlike GENIUS, CLARITY has no bank-and-payments constituency forcing them shut. The real risk is inertia. Polymarket has been the live whip count: ~59% in June, sub-40% after the July 4 miss, ~43% now. It's tracking the same disputes staffers are negotiating. This isn't dead, and it's nowhere near guaranteed. The next three weeks are the closing act.